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Winter Olympics: Who will win the most medals?

Germany, Canada, and the United States will battle for overall medal title in the Winter Olympics for the foreseeable future. Watch for China to move up the ladder using the same strategy it did in Beijing.

By Staff writer / February 12, 2010

The downtown skyline is seen in the early morning hours at the Vancouver 2010 Olympics in Vancouver Friday.

Marcio Sanchez/AP


Vancouver, British Columbia

The past two Winter Olympics have seen North America overthrow the traditional order of the medal table.

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Gone are the days when the Winter Olympics were a European-only club, with countries from other continents only picking up the scraps. Famously, Canada failed to win a gold medal even in its own Winter Olympics – Calgary 1988.

That will not happen in Vancouver. Just as the Salt Lake Games catapulted the United States into the role of winter sports power, the Vancouver Games are expected to do the same for Canada.

But Canada may go one better than its southern neighbor. Despite unprecedented success during the past two Winter Games, the US has failed to unseat Germany atop the medal standings. In these Games, Canada may do it, according to many medal predictions by major sports publications and analysts.

Indeed, Vancouver in many ways will mark the cementing of the new Winter Olympic order first introduced in Salt Lake (2002) and refined in Turin (2006). The US and Canada are the kings of the Winter Olympics’ newest sports – such as snowboarding and freestyle skiing – while Europe continues to dominate the traditional winter program.

For the foreseeable future, Germany, Canada, and the United States will battle for the overall medal title in the Winter Games, with Russia and Austria close behind (though Russia could see a bump in the 2014 Games, which it will host).

Indeed, the only real mover in the medal tally is expected to be China, which is employing the same techniques it used in the Summer Olympics in its quest to rack up a record number of medals in Vancouver.

What seems clear is that, for Canada, this year will be a more than adequate atonement for Calgary.

USA Today forecasts that Canada will top the table with 34 medals (13 gold), with Germany placing second with 32 (eight gold), and the US third with 25 (nine gold).


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