Iowa Poll has Cain and Romney neck-and-neck, Bachmann far behind
The latest Iowa Poll shows Herman Cain and Mitt Romney in a dead heat among Republicans likely to vote in January’s caucuses. Michele Bachmann, who once led the pack, is far behind.
The latest Iowa Poll shows Herman Cain and Mitt Romney in a dead heat among Republicans likely to vote in January’s nominating caucuses there. Back among the also-rans – and significantly so – is Michele Bachmann, an Iowa native who’s campaigned heavily in the state and is counting on it to propel her forward during the primary season.Skip to next paragraph
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Cain and Romney were statistically tied among the 400 likely Republican caucus goers interviewed by phone with 23 percent and 22 percent of the vote respectively and a margin of error just under 5 percent.
Ron Paul came in third with 12 percent with the rest of the candidates in single digits: Bachmann 8 percent, Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich with 7 percent each, Rick Santorum with 5 percent, and Jon Huntsman with 1 percent.
The Iowa Poll, conducted for the Des Moines Register newspaper since 1943, is an important indicator of how the candidates are doing in a state that holds the Republican Party’s first event in the selection process (Jan. 3). Doing well there can give a significant boost to a campaign headed for early primary elections in New Hampshire (Jan. 10), South Carolina (Jan. 21), and Florida (Jan. 31).
The results, which were gathered Oct. 23-29 and released Saturday night, are particularly disappointing for Bachmann and Santorum. In the last such poll, Bachmann with 22 percent was just a single point behind frontrunner Romney, and in August she won the Iowa straw poll with 29 percent.
Since then, she’s been overshadowed as the presumptive tea party favorite by Cain and Perry, and she’s had campaign problems – including misstatements she’s had to explain and the resignation of her staff in New Hampshire.