Why New York mayor's race could be big deal for American liberalism
The new front-runner in the New York mayor's race is Bill de Blasio, the most liberal major candidate in the field. If he wins, it could be a boost for the left nationally.
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And de Blasio hasn’t hedged on his calls for greater restrictions on New York's controversial stop-and-frisk policy, which allows cops to waylay anyone they think might be involved in serious criminal activity.Skip to next paragraph
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“What de Blasio has done with great success has been to energize the activist base of the Democratic party,” says Professor Sherrill. “He is saying things that won the hearts liberal Democrats.”
He has also benefited from Quinn and Thompson splitting the pro-Bloomberg vote. “Lots of polls show that about an equal number of Democrats like and dislike the mayor, [and] those who like the mayor are distributed among Thompson and Quinn pretty equally,” Sherrill adds. “But de Blasio has gotten a monopoly on the ones who dislike the mayor.”
Many Democrats express some approval of Bloomberg’s tenure as mayor, but 65 percent of likely Democratic voters say New York City needs to take a new direction, according to the Quinnipiac poll. Only 25 percent say they prefer to continue the direction of the Bloomberg years.
The much-sought-after New York Times endorsement went to Quinn, however, and the paper expressed skepticism that de Blasio could get any of his agenda passed.
“Mr. de Blasio has been the most forceful and eloquent of the Democrats in arguing that New York needs to reset its priorities in favor of the middle class, the struggling and the poor,” the Times endorsement said. “And yet, Mr. de Blasio’s most ambitious plans ... need support in the State Capitol, and look like legislative long shots. Once a Mayor de Blasio saw his boldest ideas smashed on the rocks of Albany, then what?”
De Blasio, were he to win the Democratic nomination, might also face a tougher general election than Quinn or Thompson, who are more centrist.
“Quinn and Thompson until recently have been running general election campaigns,” says Sherrill. “They didn’t want to say or do things now that will come back to haunt them in late October and November.”
“De Blasio is doing the exact opposite: he is running a primary campaign,” he continues. “And if he wins, some of things he’s saying and doing now may make the mayoral election more competitive come November – that is, I think the Republican candidate for mayor, especially if it’s [Joe] Lhota, he may have a better shot against de Blasio than against Quinn or Thompson, for this very reason.”
Mr. Lhota, a former deputy mayor under Rudolph Giuliani and the former head of the city’s transportation authority, leads in the race for the Republican nomination for mayor.
“Now the question is, in the remaining two weeks of a campaign, are the attacks that are coming, and have begun, are they going to weaken de Blasio’s support?" says Sherrill. "Is he going to lose those people, or has he already won their hearts to the point that the attacks won’t have any great impact?”