Send mediators to Washington
There is a way to resolve political impasses like the one that nearly caused a default on US debt. Every day, mediators settle business, divorce, and employment disputes. A George Mitchell or Kenneth Feinberg could do the same for Washington.
With US Treasury bonds now downgraded, and the economy barely surviving the recent debt-ceiling crisis, America is suffering from PTID – post-traumatic impasse disorder.Skip to next paragraph
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At water coolers and coffee shops, people are shaking their heads in disbelief that the country came so close to the unthinkable – the seemingly invincible US Treasury in default – because Congress was barely able to break its impasse over taxes and spending. America’s sense of security is badly shaken.
One could dismiss this deadlock as a fluke, an anomaly – but Americans have seen the same traumatic impasses recently in state legislatures. Minnesota was forced to shut down state government for nearly three weeks this summer because of a stalemate over the budget. In February, Democratic lawmakers from Wisconsin fled to Illinois to prevent a vote on public employees’ bargaining rights.
Is there a cure for PTID? Can we prevent it in the future?
In order to answer those questions, one must understand the cause of this condition. Why do impasses occur in government, business, and other arenas? Negotiation theory provides answers by identifying three common causes of negotiation failure.
The first arises from one side locking itself into a position. This is known as a “strategic barrier” to settlement.
Imagine two drivers speeding toward each other on a narrow one-lane road, with each determined to force the other off the road. What would you do if you were driving one of the cars and the other driver suddenly pried the steering wheel off his car and hurled it out the window, making sure that you could see what he had done?
In the debt ceiling crisis, some legislators locked themselves into a position that gave them no flexibility on raising revenue. No new taxes, they had pledged – in writing.
A second type of bargaining failure comes from rigidly clinging to positions instead of articulating underlying interests.
In a classic example – from the book “Getting to Yes” – two siblings are fighting over an orange. Their mother solves the problem by cutting the orange in two. But one of them wanted only the rind to bake a cake, and the other wanted only the pulp to make juice. Both could have had the functional equivalent of the whole orange if they had communicated about their interests.
The protagonists in governmental impasses seldom exhibit the curiosity or patience to explore options that might satisfy underlying objectives in a creative way. Instead, they focus on ideological advocacy of positions that they believe will appeal to constituents.
A third obstacle is called “adverse selection” – a problem that arises when both sides are actually willing to settle, but are afraid to disclose their true bargaining positions out of fear that their candor will be exploited.
Imagine that you would like to sell your car for $10,000, and so you list it for $12,000. Then someone who is willing to pay $10,000 sees your car and offers you $8,000. If you both stand firm on the proposed price, the deal falls through.
In the recent debt ceiling crisis, a deal was made, but just in the nick of time, and the close call contributed to the United States losing – for the first time – its triple-A bond rating.