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The Reformed Broker

Have we survived the Facebook lockup expiration?

While the Facebook IPO launch was less than the smash success no doubt CEO Mark Zuckerberg hoped it would be, the price of stock has sunk in such a way that it might actually be ready to start rising again.

By Guest blogger / August 17, 2012

Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg at the Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, in this July 2012 file photo. The Reformed Broker says while Zuckerberg has taken a beating in the media the past few weeks, signs point to a possible Facebook resurgence. He may have reason to smile yet.

Paul Sakuma/AP

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Today's big story is John Corzine's new hedge fund the Facebook lockup expiration.  In case you're living in a cave or you were Amish up until last night, Facebook currently has 420 million shares and as many as 271 million more just became eligible to hit the open market.

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Joshua has been managing money for high net worth clients, charitable foundations, corporations and retirement plans for more than a decade.

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We've been told for months that this would be D-Day (doomsday) but like most things, when everyone thinks something, it rarely ends up being the case.  Don't get me wrong, my view on the stock hasn't changed, but let's be honest and admit that it's a very positive sign that the stock was able to get back above 20.  As of this mid-afternoon writing, it seems like it might even stick.

I explained just after the IPO opened and then went down like a Clinton intern that I'd rather pay up for Facebook once momentum returned than try to catch a bottom.  It seems counterintuitive to not want a "cheap" price, but when you can't value things fundamentally, like untested businesses, the supply / demand picture and momentum are the only tools you have.

So Mark Zuckerber, if you're reading this, Smile!  It gets better.

The Christian Science Monitor has assembled a diverse group of the best economy-related bloggers out there. Our guest bloggers are not employed or directed by the Monitor and the views expressed are the bloggers' own, as is responsibility for the content of their blogs. To contact us about a blogger, click here.To add or view a comment on a guest blog, please go to the blogger's own site by clicking on www.thereformedbroker.com.

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