Stocks end lower for third straight week
The Dow and S&P 500 fell for the third week in a row, down about 83 points and 4 points this week, respectively. The Nasdaq fell for the second straight week, closing about 25 points down.
Subscribe Today to the Monitor
Stocks racked up three weeks of losses as investors became concerned about the direction of global growth amid signs of weakness in the U.S. and concerns over the restructuring of European debt issues.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell for the third week in a row, dropping 83.71 points this week, or 0.66 percent, to close at 12,512.04. On Friday, the blue-chip average fell 93.28 or 0.74 percent.
The S&P 500 also fell for a third week, declining 4.50 points this week, or 0.34 percent, to close at 1,333.27. On Friday, the index lost 10.33 points, or 0.77 percent. The Nasdaq fell two of the last weeks, declining 25.15 points this week, or 0.9 percent, to 2,803.32. On Friday, the Dow fell 19.99 points, or 0.71 percent.
The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, rose 2.11 percent this week to 17.43.
Many market observers expect a rocky patch for stocks in the months ahead. That's because several factors are at work, including the winding down of earnings season and the end of the Federal Reserve's second round of monetary stimulus, known as quantitative easing two (or QE2), in June. At the same time the markets are entering a period of time that tends to be slow for stocks, said Randy Frederick, chief of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab.
"The odds it will be a bullish, solid equity market through summer seems pretty unlikely to me," Frederick said.
Despite the big point drops in the Dow and other major indexes, and more than 10 percent spike in the VIX on Friday, volatility remains relatively low from a historical perspective, he added.
Friday's drop "might feel uncomfortable," Frederick said. But there have been only eight days this year that the S&P 500 has been down more than 1 percent, and only four of those days it down more than 2 percent. "This is not a volatile market," he said.
VIX futures, meanwhile, are only predicting a half point increase in the VIX over the next four months. "There's very little expectation of true volatility over the coming months," he said.
Shares of LinkedIn fell slightly in the late afternoon after rising much of the session a day after the professional social networking site surged after its initial public offering.
The offering was credited for lifting the market yesterday, but there was little follow-through.
"There was some excitement definitely yesterday over the LinkedIn IPO, but it didn’t make too much headway," said Paul Brigandi, vice president of trading at Direxion Funds. "That set us up for the sell-off today."
The IPO and dovish comments from the Federal Reserve—indicating the central bank doesn't plan to hike interest rates soon—were among the only positives in the market this week, and neither was enough to stop selling driven by increasing evidence of a slowdown in global growth, Brigandi said.
On Friday, the German Bundesbank said the nation may start to see a slowdown in its economy, which would be a further blow to the European Union as it struggles to contain a debt crisis in peripheral nations. Also, Fitch downgraded Greece's credit rating to junk-bond status.
A global economic slowdown reduces global demand, which is why commodities sold off on Friday, continuing a trend that began earlier this month.
"The 'risk on' trades that have worked so well the last several months, we’re starting to see that unwind," Brigandi said.