Obama shooting for Montana now?

Not only that but the Obama effort already "has 40 paid field directors, 14,000 volunteers and more than 60 'staging locations' statewide, where workers will coordinate a final get-out-the-vote push that began Friday and culminates Tuesday, Election Day."

"We are mounting a massive field effort to turn out voters, in a way that this state really hasn't seen before," said Caleb Weaver, an Obama spokesman.

Obama win

With Montana moving to toss-up status, CNN says if the election were held today, Obama would win with 291 electoral votes. A candidate needs only 270 to win.

If Obama were to grab Montana, part of the credit would go to Texas congressman Ron Paul.  He's on the ballot representing the Constitutional party.  And he's polling at four percent of the vote.

This has caused the Republican National Committee to dump $300,000 to $400,000 to stop the state from turning blue.

McCain needs more

But even if Montana and the rest of the toss-ups go McCain it's not enough.  That's why you see McCain and Palin practically living in Pennsylvania.

As NBC's Chuck Todd explained to Tom Brokaw this morning, if McCain gets all the toss-ups as they currently stand (Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, and Nevada), that totals only 252 electoral votes.  Pennsylvania is his path to crossing the 270 threshold.

But, it's still not that easy.  As Todd explains, if Nevada goes Obama (which is where the state currently leans), McCain's got to get New Hampshire.

"[Pennsylvania and New Hampshire] is the only path he's got left," Todd said. "They know this and that's why they had to figure out how to put Pennsylvania back in play. We don't know if it really is. We know he's spending a lot of time there and they had to figure out if New Hampshire, a state that's been incredibly kind to McCain's political career in the past, to see if it can resurrect him one more time."

Where's John McCain today?  Campaigning in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.

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