Strange twists ahead in California budget battle as deadline nears
If there's no California budget by June 15, lawmakers will have to forfeit their pay. Five days earlier, the release of a new redistricting map could force many legislators to fight for their political lives. As budget crunch time approaches, the whole process is in flux.
As the June 15 deadline for a California budget approaches, lawmakers find themselves torn between two of the most fundamental political motivations: the desire for a paycheck and the desire to stay in office.Skip to next paragraph
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Last week, California's state controller announced that, in accordance with a ballot initiative passed in November, lawmakers would have to permanently forfeit any salaries or expenses for each day beyond June 15 that there is no state budget. That threat to lawmakers "is real," says Barbara O’Connor, director emeritus of the Institute for Study of Politics and Media at California State University, Sacramento.
Yet five days before that deadline, a new bipartisan commission (created by a 2008 ballot initiative) will release California's new redistricting map, which could radically alter the character of some lawmakers' districts. Overnight, some who are currently in Republican strongholds could find themselves scrambling to win Democratic votes – and vice versa. The result: a wait-and-see approach toward the budget.
“I absolutely think the drawing of these maps is having a huge effect on what’s going on,” says Mike Zimmerman, chief of staff for Republican Assemblyman Martin Garrick. “A lot of focus has been diverted by those trying to figure out how their possible votes will affect their future constituents.”
The budget deadline comes at a time of flux. The Legislature has managed to agree on $11.2 billion in program cuts, but that represents less than half of the $26.4 billion deficit. After Gov. Jerry Brown (D) signed the cuts, the state got $6.6 billion worth of good news as revenues picked up. But Democrats put that money into health, welfare, and child-care programs rather than deficit reduction.
Republicans, meanwhile, have rebuffed Governor Brown's efforts to call for a special election to extend certain tax rates that would cover most of the remaining deficit. The Republicans say they want significant concessions on pension reform – a nonstarter for Democrats.
For now, at least, it leaves Brown in a precarious position. He has refused to pass a budget of "smoke and mirrors," yet he runs the risk of losing Democratic support if he bows to Republican demands.