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What secrets can Iran learn from intercepted US drone?

A missing US drone may indeed be in Iranian hands, experts say. Just studying its futuristic wedge shape could prove helpful for those trying to exploit US military technology.

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The question, he adds, is how readily the drone might be reverse engineered. That answer “depends on something we just don’t know: how good the Iranians are at this, and how likely they are to bring in the Chinese, the North Koreans, or others” to deconstruct the UAV and mine it for secrets, Dr. Cordesman says.

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“Can they activate enough of the sensor data in ways you can actually read to know the limits of the vehicle?” Cordesman asks. “If you have it, how much can you exploit it? Are they going to bring in a third party? Iran is not unsophisticated, but it’s not at the level of technology as China.” 

Just studying the futuristic wedge shape of the RQ-170 – which is designed to more easily penetrate air defenses in a way that the Predators and Reapers can not – could prove helpful for those trying to exploit US military technology.

“The shape of any drone device represents an incredible amount of design and engineering,” Cordesman says. 

So, too, does the coating on the exterior of the aircraft, which increases its stealth capabilities.

All this said, it’s not clear how much of the drone – whether it was shot down or crashed – landed intact and in salvageable condition.

It’s telling, analysts point out that Iran has not released photos of the particular UAV that is suspected lost, but rather stock photos drawn from web sources.

Because Iran has made no secret of its desire to develop unmanned aerial vehicles of its own, some US analysts speculate that the crash could have been a sophisticated ruse – just the sort of thing, they say, US intelligence officials might orchestrate to waste Iran’s time.

But US military mistakes happen often enough, and NATO officials acknowledged Sunday that they have been looking for a missing UAV – which was based in Afghanistan – for the better part of a week. 

Yet analysts point out that even in a worst-case scenario, it is likely that the UAV comes equipped with one or a number of “self-destruct” mechanisms in place to wipe out data links and even destroy the craft.

Designers of the RQ-170 would likely plan for the possibility of such a craft being captured by enemy forces, analysts say. 

That said, if such a drone were to crash hard enough – or be shot down effectively – “you don’t need a classic ‘self-destruct button,’ ” notes Cordesman. “Anything that flies into the ground at several hundred miles an hour tends to self-destruct.” 

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