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Opinion

China isn't a threat to America. It's an opportunity. (+video)

President Obama and Mitt Romney both say it’s time for the US to get tough with China. They have it wrong. China's rising middle class provides a ready consumer market for savvy American companies, while Chinese infrastructure projects increase demand for US construction goods.

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Between 2010 and 2020, the Chinese and Indian people will consume some $64 trillion in goods and services, according to our calculations. By 2020, Chinese and Indian consumers will be spending some $10 trillion per year – more than triple what they spent in 2010.

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Our most recent survey findings, released earlier this month, showed that 40 percent of Chinese consumers and 19 percent of Indians expected to increase their discretionary spending in the coming year – compared to 9 percent of Americans, and 8 percent of British.

The booming consumer economy is only the first wave of opportunity. China and India are also in the midst of a massive infrastructure expansion to provide their newly empowered consumers with more and better roads, expanded telecom networks, reliable power supplies, more airports, and clean water. These projects will demand steel, cement, copper, electricity, oil and gas, precious metals, and coal.

Many Americans see China through an “us vs. them” lens: If they win, we lose. That perspective is wrong.

The story isn’t us vs. them; it’s us and them. Growth in China and India means opportunity for America, too.

Of course, not everyone will win. Some will act too slowly; make bad decisions; expect success to be handed to them; pay too little attention to their customers; and fail to recognize that emerging market volatility will produce both busts and booms.

But there remains a huge disconnect between the China-bashing rhetoric on the campaign trail and the reality of opportunity on the ground.

I’ve spent enough time in enough Chinese and Indian living rooms to understand the middle-class population's hopes and dreams. They will become increasingly intolerant of corruption, pollution, and lawlessness, and will use their newfound economic and political power to force reform. They’ll buy brand-name goods and increase their investments in family, home, health, and education. They’ll use the power of the purse to carve out a world that fulfills their dreams.

America has no choice but to meet them in the marketplace. We have everything to gain. America needs to be curious, engaged, and ready to seize the day.

Michael J. Silverstein (follow him on Twitter @MJSilverstein) is a senior partner of The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and co-author, most recently, of “The $10 Trillion Prize: Captivating the Newly Affluent in China and India.”

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