Second quarter GDP better than expected – but economy still in slow gear
New GDP numbers for April through June show the economy growing by 1.7 percent – an unexpected jump. That could lead the Federal Reserve to ease up on its stimulus program.
The US economy grew at a 1.7 percent annual pace in the second quarter – a welcome acceleration that many forecasters didn’t expect.Skip to next paragraph
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It’s a sign that businesses are investing more and consumers are spending more, despite tax hikes that took effect at the beginning of the year.
The nation’s gross domestic product, or GDP, had grown at a rate of just 1.1 percent in the first quarter and 0.1 percent in last year’s final quarter.
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The positive report from the US Commerce Department was matched Wednesday by a sign of progress in the troubled European economy as well, where the number of people unemployed fell for the first time since April 2011.
Investors responded by pushing up stock prices, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 index up about 0.5 percent for the day by the middle of the trading session.
The pickup in US growth comes despite the arrival of Congress’s budget “sequester,” which began to impose automatic spending restraint across much of the federal budget as of April. And to many forecasters, that suggests that the pace of economic expansion will pick up during the year’s second half.
For now, though, the recent progress still leaves the economy crawling forward at only a tepid pace.
Since last December, for example, the unemployment rate has edged downward by just a small degree: from 7.8 percent to 7.6 percent in the June reading. The Labor Department will release the jobless rate for July Friday.
“Four years after the Great Recession we are still stuck with a recovery only a statistician could love,” economist Mark Vitner of Wells Fargo writes in an analysis of the new numbers. “We expect growth to gradually ramp up in the second half of this year, but growth will still lag behind most previous recoveries.”
In the second quarter, consumer spending expanded at a 1.8 percent pace, and “fixed investment” by businesses grew at a 9 percent annual rate. Such investments include everything from homebuilding and new offices to new computers.
This suggests that the private sector is moving forward, after taking a hit from higher taxes that took effect in January. The changes included a rise in tax rates on high-income Americans and the expiration of temporary 2 percentage point cut in the payroll tax for Social Security.