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Intel investment a big vote of confidence for US economy

Intel on Monday announced it was spending up to $8 billion to upgrade factories in Oregon and Arizona, hiring thousands of US workers. Does Intel see something it likes in the US manufacturing market?

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China has long been an attractive country for companies to take their production outfits to, in part, some say, because it has manipulated its currency to keep it artificially weak.

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“I believe China has to have their currency move [up] dramatically – we’re talking about a 50 percent change,” says Mr. Naroff. Such a currency move would last for some time, he says. “When you are building plants like Intel, you are talking about factories that will still be producing 20 years down the road.”

Intel has maintained a strong US base for making its products for some time. According to the company, three quarters of its revenues come from overseas, but three quarters of its microprocessors are made in the US.

According to Intel, the construction is thanks partly to a buoyant computer industry, which Intel says is shipping 1 million PCs per day.

“The upgraded [fabrication plants] create the capacity for the continued growth of the PC market segment and additional computing markets Intel is addressing, such as mobile and embedded computing,” said the company in an announcement.

Intel is calling its investment the construction of the next generation of its manufacturing technology. The Oregon facility is scheduled to start-up in 2013.

The actual construction of the chip production plants will be a boon to both Oregon and Arizona, which Zandi calls “among the hardest hit states in the country.”

In fact, the scale of the Intel plan makes it one of the largest private construction projects in the nation, says Ken Simonson, chief economist at the Associated General Contractors of America in Arlington, Va.

“This is maybe one of the top-five or maybe even top projects in the world at this point,” says Mr. Simonson. “There will be a need for a lot of skilled workers.”

Those skills will be in demand because the plants themselves will be built to very high standards, requiring sophisticated air and water filtration systems. “The plant will have higher purity than a hospital,” says Simonson.

One of the plants will be in greater Phoenix and the second facility will be outside of Portland. The construction industry in those cities has been pounded, he says. In the case of Phoenix, construction employment is down 53 percent from its peak in 2006, and Portland's is down 36 percent, says Simonson. Nationally, construction employment is down 27 percent.

“These are a couple of hurting states,” he says.