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Return of the tight job market

The economy added 243,000 jobs last month, and wages are on the upswing.



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By Ron Scherer, Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor / March 13, 2006

NEW YORK

America is having a jobs fair.

Employers are on the prowl, trying to entice construction workers, nurses, database administrators, and certified public accountants, just to name a few areas where businesses can't keep up with demand. Wages, once nonnegotiable, are on the table.

Would you rather live in Fort Walton Beach, Fla.; Charlottesville, Va.; or Fargo, N.D.? Just call: Someone in each of these places is advertising for workers.

The vibrant economy is now spilling over to the workforce with a strength that hasn't been seen since the late 1990s. The economy has added an average of 226,800 jobs per month for the past four months, including 243,000 in February, as reported last Friday. The surge is so strong that some economists now believe the Federal Reserve will be able to hike interest rates even higher without putting too much of a drag on the economy.

"The economy is a little bit stronger than the Federal Reserve's expectation," says Gregory Miller, chief economist at SunTrust Banks in Atlanta. "It gives them cover to raise interest rates with minimum risk of undermining sustainable growth."

The improved job market is encouraging those who had given up on finding work to try again, which is one reason the official unemployment rate rose to 4.8 percent last month. The "quit" rate is also up - a sign that employees feel confident about finding another job.

Only spots in the industrial Midwest appear to be missing out on the jobs surge.

"We're seeing areas where the unemployment rate has fallen to the lowest point in their labor history," says Mr. Miller.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 178 major metropolitan areas had unemployment rates in December below the then-national average of 4.6 percent. Thirty-three cites had unemployment rates below 3 percent, including Morgantown, W.Va.; Dothan, Ala.; and Bismarck, N.D.

The Southeast is one of the hottest regions, particularly Florida, which had a 3 percent unemployment rate in January. In December, it had the three lowest unemployment areas in the nation: Fort Walton Beach and Fort Myers at 2.3 percent and Gainesville at 2.2 percent.

The Miami-Fort Lauderdale area has an unemployment rate of 3.3 percent. There are already reports that construction companies and hotels are having difficulty attracting workers. Some hotels reportedly might have to bring in labor from outside the United States.

The region could get even hotter. Recently, the state Legislature permitted Florida insurance companies to sell insurance to foreign nationals. That could result in the gain of 25,000 to 50,000 jobs over the next 10 years, estimates Frank Nero, president of the Miami-Dade Beacon Council, an economic development organization.

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