Chechens wary of homecoming

In what appears to be part of a Kremlin effort to convince the Russian public – and the world – that the war in Chechnya is over, President Vladimir Putin has decreed that some 150,000 Chechen refugees must go home.

Experts say that most refugees are unwilling to leave their tent camps in neighboring Ingushetia, where they have spent the past three winters, because their homes in Chechnya are in ruins, the republic's infrastructure is devastated, and they fear for their safety.

Despite government assurances that only peaceful persuasion will be applied, there is a growing fear that the mass resettlement – which Putin ordered carried out by the end of September – could become a humanitarian disaster.

"We in Moscow live in a zone of extreme disinformation about the situation in Chechnya," says Leonid Smirnyagin, a former member of the Kremlin's presidential advisory council who is now with the Carnegie Endowment in Moscow. "But the refugees staying in Ingushetia know that Chechnya is in chaos, that it is extremely dangerous to go there, and they will not return unless they are coerced."

Though figures vary, there are at least 150,000 refugees crammed into Ingush tent cities or abandoned farms and factories, or living with sympathetic families. Conditions in the camps are harsh, but international aid agencies have been able to provide food, clean water, and regular schooling for most refugees.

"People don't prefer life in cold, ragged tents to their own homes without good reasons," says Yelena Burtina, a field worker with Civil Assistance, an independent Russian aid group that works with Chechen refugees.

The war has destroyed about 80 percent of housing, she says; there is no gas or electricity in many areas, and few schools or hospitals are functioning. Ongoing fighting between rebels and the Russian military, plus regular zachistki (security sweeps) by security forces, pose a threat to civilian life.

The Ingush, ethnic cousins of the Chechens, initially welcomed the refugees, but experts say the economic strain on impoverished Ingushetia has strained goodwill.

"The refugee problem needs to be solved, but the speed envisioned is very worrying," says Mariam Yandiyeva, assistant head of international relations at Ingushetia's official representation in Moscow. "The Russians have stationed the 503rd Motorized Rifle Regiment (a crack Army unit) at Sleptsovsk, near the refugee camps. Russian security forces have recently stepped up zachistki in the camps, and they are making many arrests. Signals like this suggest the [resettlement] process may not be calm and peaceful."

Russian authorities will say little about the plan, decided at a Kremlin meeting in May and sealed a week ago between pro-Moscow Chechen leader Akhmad Kadyrev and Ingushetia's new president, Murat Zyazikov, a general in Russia's security service. "I can only tell you that all those stories about 'force measures' to make them return to Chechnya are just lies invented by the media," says Alexander Grichushkin, deputy department chief of the Russian Ministry for Chechen Affairs.

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