Last month, at an event in San Jose, RIM demoed a range of select apps for its forthcoming BlackBerry 10 operating system. Today, the company has thrown open the doors of its App World platform to all developers, and begun offering something called a "$10K Developer Commitment." The gist of the thing is pretty simple: build an app for BB10, earn $1,000 in net revenue (in-app payments count), and RIM will pay you $10,000.
Now a more pressing question: When will BlackBerry 10 actually launch? Well, RIM is officially saying first quarter of next year. That could mean January, but many analysts believe February or March is probably closer to the mark.
"Some simple math tells us that if RIM really does get its BB10 devices to carriers for certifications this month (let's say October 15 for the sake of argument), January 15 is the absolute earliest those devices might be ready for sale," writes Eric Zeman of InformationWeek. "But that's not very likely. It's more likely that it will be February 15 before the devices are certified to run on the wireless networks."
Add in firmware completion, boxing, and shipping lags, Zeman adds, "RIM is looking at late February before it can launch BlackBerry 10, if not early March."
Not particularly good for RIM, obviously. For one, the Canadian company has weathered a brutal few months, complete with widespread layoffs, executive-level shake-ups, and the failure of forgettable products such as the PlayBook. RIM desperately needs a hit, and it needs one soon. A March launch would completely miss the holiday shopping season – a time when electronics manufacturers often get a much needed sales bump.
Moreover, launch BB10 in March, and you risk getting run over roughshod by competitors. Apple recently released iOS 6, and while Apple Maps has been lambasted by critics, the operating system seems to be doing pretty well. Later this month, Windows Phone 8, Microsoft's mobile OS, will go into wide release on phones manufactured by Nokia and HTC, among others.
The window for RIM is closing fast.
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