Six things to watch in the new GOP Congress

Republicans had a very good day  in midterm elections yesterday. But can they translate their ballot-box success into a positive legislative agenda? Six things to watch. 

J. Scott Applewhite/AP/File
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Ky., and his wife, former Labor Secretary Elaine Chao, leave after casting their ballots in the midterm election at the voting precinct at Bellarmine University in Louisville, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2014.

Republicans had a very good day yesterday. But can they translate their ballot-box success into a positive legislative agenda? It won’t be easy but here are six clues:

Mitch McConnell: He is a brilliant legislative tactician. We know he’ll use those skills to try to outmaneuver Democratic Leader Harry Reid but will he also use them to box in ambitious and impatient hardcore Senate conservatives?  Ted  Cruz (R-TX) has some reinforcements in newly elected senators Thom Tillis of North Carolina and Joni Ernst of Iowa. But McConnell, who is nothing if not patient and pragmatic, may want to rein in the Tea Party agenda. How will he balance the conflicting demands of his hard right with those of voters who want to end gridlock? The outcome of this intra-party battle will be a key to whether Washington can begin to reach consensus on even the most modest legislative initiatives.

The new Democratic Dynamic: Reid, the old boxer, may be a better counterpuncher than even McConnell. He’s a master at stalling legislation. And just as the Senate GOP caucus has become more conservative, the Democratic cloakroom has gotten more liberal. Centrists such as North Carolina’s Kay Hagan and Arkansas’ Mark Pryor are gone, Alaska’s Mark Begich is losing, and Louisiana’s Mary Landrieu faces a tough runoff.  Even if McConnell wants to try to peel off Democratic votes, it will be hard to find them.

Tax Reform: Everyone says they want tax reform but once past that rhetoric, they agree on very little. President Obama says he supports corporate reform. Cruz wants a flat tax. Paul Ryan, who wants to be the new chair of the House Ways & Means Committee, favors broad-based overhaul rather than corporate reform alone. House Speaker John Boehner says he favors tax reform but when presented with a plan by Ways and Means Chair Dave Camp earlier this year, Boehner ran for the hills. On top of that, Democrats and Republicans are completely at loggerheads over whether reform should cut taxes, raise them, or leave them roughly the same. Other than that, a deal is imminent.

The Budget:  Will the congressional GOP go to war over spending and regulation? House Republicans have a free hand to pass anything they want. In the Senate, McConnell can use the budget process—and the threat of a government shutdown—to try slash domestic spending, roll back environmental and financial regulation, and cut business taxes. The idea: Push Obama into a corner where he must choose to sign such a bill or risk a shutdown.  It might work. But it would also further poison the already-toxic Washington atmosphere, assure no other significant legislation passes before 2017, and further alienate voters– if that’s possible.

The Affordable Care Act: Cruz wants to repeal it. McConnell says that’s a fool’s errand but vows to do what he can to hamstring the program. For instance, a GOP Congress could try to repeal the tax/penalty that enforces the individual mandate. And there is a good chance that Congress will dump an ACA tax on medical device makers. The real question: Will congressional Republicans spend the next two years trying to destroy the ACA or can they agree among themselves on a serious alternative?

The IRS & Treasury: IRS Commissioner John Koskinen is going to spend so much time testifying to congressional committees, he may as well bring a cot up to Capitol Hill. His agency’s budget is likely to be slashed even more deeply. But under GOP pressure, will Treasury and IRS back down on regulatory efforts to curb corporate inversions or control the use of 501(c)4 non-profits by political organizations?

Yesterday’s election gave Republicans control of the Senate but did it open the door to significant policy changes? That’s anyone’s guess.

The post The Day After the 2014 Election: Six Things To Watch In the New GOP Congress appeared first on TaxVox.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to

QR Code to Six things to watch in the new GOP Congress
Read this article in
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today