A basic data analysis suggests that 60 senators might support Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court. Perhaps more interesting, though, is how much has changed since he was confirmed to the D.C. Circuit.
The optimism after the striking of a 2-year budget deal last October has waned, now conservatives have a plan to force $30 billion in cuts.
Perhaps more than you think. In fact, we can put a number on it.
Only a few current members have experienced an open, deliberative process on Capitol Hill. Attempts to reincorporate 'regular' processes in modern day have failed miserably.
Ohio voters rejected a measure to legalize marijuana use. US House members vote in ways that appear to be influenced by how their constituents voted on such ballot measures.
For the next month, Speaker John Boehner is untethered from the hard right, setting the stage to pass stalled measures. But removing Boehner also makes longterm prospects worse.
'The only way John Boehner will vacate the speakership is if he decides he no longer wants the job.' On Friday, that's just what he did.
The Senate is supposed to calm the boisterous House. But the Senate has become just as polarized, partly because so many senators these days served in the House first.
Since the Senate went nuclear in 2013, senators have learned that you can change nearly any Senate process if you can find a nondebatable motion. Senate conservatives could use this method to try to scuttle the Import-Export bank.
At the present time, nearly 9 in 10 of South Carolina representatives say that they support taking down the flag. But a model simulating today's vote signals some reasons to be cautious.
Polls signal that Democrats take more liberal stances than they have in the past, but Republican congressional leaders are prioritizing partisan bills with more frequency than Democrats – and have greater incentives to do so.
The modern 'talking' filibuster often doubles as a publicity engagement. That's why it’s not surprising that the last four talking filibuster-ers are current presidential hopefuls.
Party polarization is overused as an explanation in American politics. That lens misses the outliers in both parties, who fall out on regional, demographic, and ideological lines.
Sen. Ted Cruz if the first major candidate to announce he's running for president in 2016. Yet the media is already exhaustively covering the election as a horse race.
The teeth of a congressional budget resolution is not in its policy. It's in the processes it establishes for legislation for the remainder of the fiscal year.
No House Speaker has ever been removed from office mid-Congress. One reason is that Speakers have the right to choose who will be recognized to make a motion from the floor. Without that recognition, a bid to remove a Speaker goes nowhere.
It’s nearly impossible to find a supermajority to challenge unilateral executive actions that fall within the previously accepted scope of executive authority.
Some Republicans want Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell to change the rules of the Senate, so their DHS funding bill can pass, averting a government shutdown. But McConnell can’t go nuclear the filibuster alone.
But don't expect the termination of the filibuster to solve polarization. With no right to filibuster, minority parties will be more isolated; and the Senate, more partisan.
The Senate has voted on more amendments in the last week than all of 2014. A week-long debate over amendments to an important bill is a positive step. But the process is fragile and trust between the parties is not high.