Race is on to find rebel prime minister for Syria

A transitional government is crucial to win Arab and Western support for the revolt against Assad, and would bolster the opposition as a democratic alternative to decades of autocratic rule in Syria.

Demonstrators hold opposition flags during a protest against Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, in Houla near Homs November 23. Syria's new opposition coalition held its first full meeting on Wednesday to discuss forming a transitional government, but disagreements broke out at the outset, showing that Assad's foes remain deeply divided.

Courtesy of Abu Osama/Shaam News Network/Reuters

November 28, 2012

Syria's new opposition coalition held its first full meeting on Wednesday to discuss forming a transitional government, but disagreements broke out at the outset, showing that President Bashar al-Assad's foes remain deeply divided.

A transitional government is crucial to win effective Arab and Western support for the 20-month revolt against Assad, and would bolster the opposition as a democratic alternative to decades of autocratic rule in Syria.

The 60 or so delegates, chosen after talks in Qatar this month, are meeting in Cairo ahead of a gathering of the Friends of Syria, a grouping of dozens of nations that had pledged mostly non-military backing for the revolt but who are worried by the influence of Islamists in the opposition.

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After the Syrian National Council (SNC), the first major opposition grouping formed in Istanbul last year that became dominated by the Muslim Brotherhood, won scant international support, a Western and Gulf backed effort produced the new coalition earlier this month.

The SNC has 27 members in the new coalition and a clash immediately broke out as the meeting started as the council tried to increase its share, delegates at the meeting said.

"Nothing will proceed until we work this out," said one SNC member at the talks, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

"This is not a salad you mix and add to at whim. The future of Syria is at stake and the Brotherhood is pushing more of its hawks into the coalition, although it already has half of the seats," said another delegate.

He pointed to many non-coalition members who attended the meeting, or were present in the Cairo Hotel, where the conference is taking place. Most were members of the Brotherhood or close to the group, which bore the brunt of a bloody repression by Assad's father, the late President Hafez al-Assad, in the 1980s.

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"The problem is bigger than the Brotherhood issue. We do seem to be able to overcome a tribal quota mentality. It is just delaying discussing the serious issues of forming a government and responding to the international community," said another delegate.

RELIGIOUS FIGURE OR LEADER?

Assad, who belongs to the minority Alawite sect, an offshoot of Shi'ite Islam that has dominated power in Syriasince the 1960s, has painted the opposition as Sunni extremists and al Qaeda followers and presented himself as the last guarantor for an undivided Syria.

The coalition's head, Damascus preacher Moaz Alkhatib, has repeatedly rejected sectarianism, but Alkhatib is being increasingly seen as a religious figure who is respected inside Syria and an interlocutor with outside powers, rather than a hands-on leader.

"Most of the talking so far has been done by Riad Seif and Mustafa Sabbagh. Alkhatib barely said anything," one delegate said.

Seif, a long time democracy campaigner and a former political prisoner, is one of two coalition vice presidents. Sabbagh, the coalition's general secretary, is a businessman close to the Brotherhood.

The several-day conference will also select committees to manage aid and communications, a process that is developing into a power struggle between the Muslim Brotherhood on one side and secular members and independent Islamists on the other.

"The objective is to name the prime minister for a transitional government, or at least have a list of candidates ahead of the Friends of Syria meeting," said Suhair al-Atassi, one of the coalition's two vice-presidents.

Atassi is only one of three female members of the coalition, in which the Muslim Brotherhood and its allies account for around 40 to 45 percent.

Rivalries have also intensified between the opposition in exile and rebels on the ground, where the death toll has reached 40,000 after 20 months of violence. The rebels have become an increasingly formidable fighting force on the ground.

But the new coalition has given rise to hopes that Assad's enemies can set aside their differences and focus on securing international support to remove him.

"We have ideological differences with the coalition, but it will achieve its mission if it brings us outside military help," said Abu Nidal Mustafa, from Ansar al-Islam, an Islamist rebel unit in Damascus.

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Liaison between the coalition and rebels has been assigned to former Prime Minister Riad Hijab, the highest ranking official to defect since the revolt, coalition sources said.

His name is also being touted as a possible prime minister but his history in Assad's Baath Party could exclude him.

Another possible contender is Asaad Mustafa, a respected former agriculture minister under Assad's late father. Mustafa, who now lives in Kuwait, left the country decades ago after protesting against Hafez's policies.

Atassi said that major figures have been overlooked in the new coalition, such as veteran campaigners Aref Dalila, a prominent Alawite, and Fawaz Tello, and that efforts are needed to bring on board the main Kurdish political grouping, the Kurdish National Council, which has stayed away.

She added that, unlike the SNC, the new coalition would work with important figures even if they do not become full members.

She pointed to Adib al-Sheishakly, a grandson of a Syrian president who had quit the SNC in protest at what he regarded as elections rigged by the Muslim Brotherhood.

Sheishakly now works with the coalition on securing aid and economic support and told Reuters that he is confident the new group will not be a repeat of the SNC, partly because Alkhatib would provide a balance between competing groups.

"We have had academics as head of the opposition and they did not manage competing interests well. This is a smaller body and Alkhatib knows how to absorb everyone," Sheishakly said.

But the coalition already faces a major test. It has not agreed on how to deal with international proposals that envisage a transitional period without requiring Assad to step down, an option deemed unthinkable by opposition groups in Syria.