GREENSPAN SEES DANGER OF RECESSION

July 24, 1989

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the central bank has been pushing down interest rates in an effort to keep the country out of a recession and acknowledged the Fed's best efforts might not be enough. After a year of raising interest rates to dampen inflationary pressures, Mr. Greenspan said, the Fed switched course in June and began lowering rates because of signs of a weakening economy.

Greenspan, making his midyear report to Congress late last week, said the Fed's policies would seek to avoid ``an unnecessary and destructive recession.'' He said the Fed must weigh the dangers of a recession against the risk that too loose a monetary policy could spark an inflationary spiral.

The Fed forecast that the overall economy would grow at an annual rate of between 2 and 2.5 percent. This was lower than the administration's revised forecast of 2.7 percent growth.