2022
July
21
Thursday

Monitor Daily Podcast

July 21, 2022
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TODAY’S INTRO

Why my Hindi was a bit strange

During my stint in India for the Monitor, there was always a place at the kitchen table for Harilal. He was my Hindi teacher, and my wife and I still smile when we trade stories about him – ever gracious, always passionate about language, and delighted by my then-1-year-old daughter.

But the Hindi he taught was a little different. When we used it to hire a tuk-tuk or order a kebab in Delhi, we’d get strange looks. Your Hindi is too formal, they’d always say. It was a mystery. Why was he teaching us seemingly outdated Hindi?

The mystery was solved on my first trip to Pakistan. There, the cab driver turned to me with an astonished expression and exclaimed, “Your Urdu is excellent!” 

Harilal, after all, was born in what is now Pakistan and came to India during partition, when one country was ripped in two along religious lines. My mystery was just one tiny example of how entwined the two counties are, linguistically, historically, and socially – and how traumatic the separation was, displacing more than 10 million people. 

Partition happened 75 years ago, and I thought back to Harilal as I read one of the many remembrances being published about partition this summer. The NPR report told of Ishar Das Arora, who, like Harilal, had left his birthplace in Pakistan for India as a boy and never returned. 

In a twist, Mr. Das Arora’s grandson managed to get into Pakistan, and with a map scribbled from his grandfather’s memory, he found the village and recorded his discoveries in a 3D video format. So earlier this year, Mr. Das Arora went back to his hometown virtually – seeing the houses in the old Hindu section and even the grandson of someone who helped his family escape 75 years ago. 

“My school is still there,” he said. “And the hills where my voice used to echo.”

This summer, as I remember the awful history of partition, I also like to think of Harilal and the gift of Hindi lessons that made the subcontinent’s deepest division feel a bit smaller.  

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Democrats’ risky strategy: Elevate GOP election deniers

Helping a preferred opponent win their primary can be a recipe for victory in the general election. But at a time when experts say democracy is under threat, it’s a cynical – and potentially risky – move. 

Carolyn Kaster/AP
Members of the audience sing songs of worship during a primary-night election celebration in Chambersburg, Pennsylvania, May 17, 2022, for state Sen. Doug Mastriano, Republican candidate for governor of Pennsylvania.
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Political organizations linked to the Democratic Party have spent nearly $44 million on ads raising the profile of far-right candidates in Republican primaries in at least five states, according to Open Secrets, a nonpartisan group that tracks campaign spending.

It’s an old political strategy to try to help “weaker” opponents prevail in a primary, thereby creating an easier path to winning the general election. But it can be a dangerous game.

In Pennsylvania, for instance, Democrats spent heavily on ads highlighting Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano, who supported President Donald Trump’s efforts to decertify the 2020 election and continues to promote the false claim that it was stolen. Mr. Mastriano won the May GOP primary – and is now only a few points behind Democratic candidate Josh Shapiro.

It’s the kind of consultant-driven gamesmanship that many voters dislike. That could be particularly true this year when Democrats say democracy is under threat from candidates denying the 2020 election results – while simultaneously appearing to boost those candidates behind the scenes.

“It just seems to be playing with fire,” says Jennifer Victor, a political scientist at George Mason University. “Putting money behind candidates who use rhetoric and take positions that are inconsistent with democratic norms and values is really problematic.” 

Democrats’ risky strategy: Elevate GOP election deniers

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It’s something that seems backward: Democrats spending money that serves to boost far-right candidates, many endorsed by former President Donald Trump, in elections all across America.

Yet it appears to be true. Political groups and nonprofit organizations linked to the Democratic Party have spent nearly $44 million on ads that have raised the profile of far-right candidates in Republican primaries in at least five states, according to Open Secrets, a nonpartisan group that tracks U.S. campaign spending.

It’s part of an old political strategy, actually, in which political parties meddle in the candidate-picking process of the other side. The hope is that if “weaker” opponents prevail, it will make it easier for the meddling party to win the general election.

But it can be a dangerous game, note political experts. In some instances, it’s a waste of scarce campaign funds that could be better put toward things like turnout operations. It also could backfire.

In Pennsylvania’s gubernatorial primary, for instance, Democrats spent heavily on TV ads highlighting the positions of Republican state Sen. Doug Mastriano, who supported President Donald Trump’s efforts to decertify the 2020 election and continues to promote the false claim that it was stolen. Senator Mastriano won the May GOP primary, beating more moderate rivals – and is now only a few percentage points behind Democratic candidate Josh Shapiro.

In general, meddling in the other’s side primary with this so-called Pied Piper approach can come across as the kind of consultant-driven political gamesmanship that many voters say they dislike. That could be particularly true this year when Democrats say democracy is under threat from candidates denying the 2020 election results – while simultaneously appearing to boost some of those same candidates behind the scenes.

“It just seems to be playing with fire,” says Jennifer Victor, an associate professor at the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. “Putting money behind candidates who use rhetoric and take positions that are inconsistent with democratic norms and values is really problematic.” 

Ric Dugan/The Frederick News-Post/AP
Maryland State Delegate Dan Cox gives a thumbs up as he enters a victory party after winning the Republican primary for Maryland governor, July 19, 2022, in Emmitsburg, Maryland.

Sometimes putting a thumb on the scale of an opponent’s primary works. In 2012, Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill of Missouri wanted conservative Todd Akin to win the GOP nomination, seeing him as the candidate she could most easily beat. She and her consultants came up with the idea of a “dog whistle” ad that would appear critical of Mr. Akin but would actually appeal to Republican primary voters, Senator McCaskill later wrote in a memoir

The ad quoted Mr. Akin saying highly negative things about then-President Barack Obama, and called him “too conservative” for Missouri. On the surface, it appeared as if Ms. McCaskill was attacking him, but as she noted in her book, “when you call someone ‘too conservative’ in a Republican primary, that’s giving him or her a badge of honor.”

Ms. McCaskill spent more money on Mr. Akin in the last two weeks of the primary than he spent on his entire campaign. It worked. He surged in the polls and won the primary. And then Senator McCaskill beat him handily in November, helped by some Akin gaffes dealing with abortion and women’s rights.

Fast forward to 2022, and Democratic campaign entities are employing a very similar approach in some Republican primaries.

In Maryland, the Democratic Governors Association (DGA) spent more than $1 million elevating Dan Cox, a conservative state delegate who organized buses to take Trump supporters to Washington on Jan. 6. The money went to TV ads and mailers tying Mr. Cox to former President Trump and detailing his conservative positions, including his opposition to new gun restrictions.

On Tuesday, Mr. Cox won the primary over a moderate opponent endorsed by Larry Hogan, the popular two-term GOP governor in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans almost 2-to-1.

DGA officials say they were just starting the general election campaign early against Mr. Cox, not trying to boost him in the primary.

But some analysts were quick to chalk up Mr. Cox’s win as a win for Democrats as well. In a state President Joe Biden won by 33 points, Mr. Cox’s pro-Trump positions won’t cut it, noted Jessica Taylor of the Cook Political Report following Tuesday’s primary.

“This [race] now moves completely off the board and into Solid Democrat,” Ms. Taylor wrote Wednesday morning. 

Ross D. Franklin/AP
Former President Donald Trump introduces Arizona Republican candidate for governor Kari Lake, right, as Trump speaks at a rally on Jan. 15, 2022, in Florence, Arizona. Former U.S. Rep. Matt Salmon dropped out of the race for the Republican nomination for Arizona governor in June, leaving just two top contenders in the GOP contest. Mr. Salmon was widely seen as trailing former TV-news anchor Kari Lake and developer Karrin Taylor Robson.

Can you really pick your opponent?

Maryland is not the only state where Democratic entities have run ads boosting the profiles of Trump-backed gubernatorial candidates. They have tried it with Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania, who won his GOP primary in May, and Darren Bailey of Illinois, who cruised to a primary victory in June. They’re running ads drawing attention to the Trump ties of Kari Lake of Arizona, who faces a gubernatorial primary in early August. 

Efforts to elevate far-right GOP candidates for offices from governor to member of Congress in California and Colorado did not succeed, according to Open Secrets

In general, how do such ads work? Are they really effective?

“They could work. A primary race is one of the places where persuasive political advertising is likely to have an impact,” says Travis Ridout, a professor of government at Washington State University and co-director of the Wesleyan Media Project, which tracks political advertising.

In a general election, party affiliation is a cue that influences the choice of many voters. In a primary, without the red vs. blue choice, indications of ideology or placement in a party’s political spectrum can make a difference, Professor Ridout says.

That means that an ad noting whether a candidate is endorsed by President Trump or not could make a huge difference to GOP voters, whether the ad is critical or not.

The other reason it could make a big difference is that in a primary, voters’ knowledge of candidates is pretty low. Basics such as name recognition are important. Democratic ads that blast out a Republican name, especially when the Democrats are spending more for ads than the Republican candidate can themselves afford, could change the nature of the race.

“There’s a rule in politics: You’re not going to vote for someone you’ve never heard of before,” says Professor Ridout.

Furthermore, the man-bites-dog nature of one political party elevating another’s candidates is irresistible to the media, and leads to stories that repeat and magnify the ad effects.

That said, it is also easy to exaggerate the race-swaying power of political meddling. Not every such case is McCaskill v. Akin.

Take Pennsylvania, where Democrats have been criticized for boosting “MAGA longshot” Doug Mastriano, only to find he has at least a chance of winning. 

Democratic ads elevating Mr. Mastriano were only a very small contribution to his primary victory, says Christopher Witko, associate director of the School of Public Policy at Pennsylvania State University.

A much larger reason was structural: There were too many anti-Mastriano Republicans in the race. None stepped aside to allow mainstream opposition to Mr. Mastriano to coalesce around one candidate.

“That was the biggest thing. If you’d have had only one person running against Mastriano it would have been different,” says Professor Witko. 

What about small-d democracy?

But for small-d democrats, is the Democratic Party meddling in GOP primaries the right thing to do?

In some ways it is politics as usual – even politics as it should be. Democrats believe they are engaging in a strategic maneuver that could increase their chances of winning important elections.  

“That’s what we want political parties to do,” says Jennifer Victor of George Mason University.

On the other hand, the Democrats’ action is essentially promoting extremist candidates, she says. In the current highly polarized political environment, where about half of all Republican nominees for the Senate, House, governorships, state attorneys general, and secretaries of state have flirted with the unfounded viewpoint that the 2020 election was fraudulent, democracy with a small “d” is already on the ballot this November. Democrats with a capital “D” shouldn’t inadvertently make things worse.

“For a party to provide substantial support to extremists, even for strategic reasons – that, in itself, I think runs counter to democratic values,” says Professor Victor.

Patterns

Tracing global connections

Will the French shiver so that Germans don’t freeze this winter?

Cooperation is at the core of the European Union’s identity. Can the bloc withstand Moscow’s use of oil and gas as levers to shatter its unity?

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The European Union has seen its unity tested before, and prides itself on often emerging stronger from its crises. But now the 27-member bloc is facing an unusually stern test. And the outcome will be of significance in Moscow and Washington too, given the EU’s role in supporting Ukraine.

The crisis centers on energy, and the 60% cut in Russian gas supplies on which many European countries depend. And it could get worse: Europe is preparing for President Vladimir Putin to cut off oil and gas supplies completely next winter.

The European Commission, the EU’s secretariat, this week issued plans for energy consumption cuts and a broader search for alternative suppliers. But if things get tough, it will expect member states less dependent on Russian gas to share their energy with more vulnerable neighbors.

That will be a tall order, making French citizens shiver so that Germans don’t freeze, but sharing benefits and sacrifices is at the heart of what the European Union is all about. As he piles on the pressure, Mr. Putin seems determined to try to break EU unity and morale.

Given that Ukraine’s fate is at stake, a lot more than usual is hanging in the European balance.

Will the French shiver so that Germans don’t freeze this winter?

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Yves Herman/Reuters
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at a news conference in Brussels on July 20, 2022. She accused Russia of "blackmailing" the European Union by withholding energy supplies.

It has been decades in the making, a cooperative partnership based on an assumption audaciously out of sync with current world politics: that countries can be persuaded to forgo their national interests, even some of their sovereignty, in defense of shared values and common goals.

But that assumption at the heart of the 27-member European Union is now being tested as rarely before.

And how successfully the union hangs together will have implications beyond the EU itself. Russian President Vladimir Putin clearly hopes that the cracks will widen, thus weakening the Western pushback against his invasion of Ukraine. The Biden administration – and war-battered Ukraine – are trusting that unity will prevail.

The immediate crisis concerns energy. Russia has reduced its deliveries of the natural gas that is critical to a number of the EU’s member states, including its most powerful economy, Germany. Soaring gas costs have slowed the bloc’s growth and sharply driven down the value of the EU currency, the euro.

Russia began pumping gas again this week after a 10-day suspension for maintenance on the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, but only at 40% of traditional levels.

The even deeper concern is that Mr. Putin could halt gas supplies completely, especially as next winter’s cold begins to bite. And that’s where the main challenge to Europe’s unity comes in.

The EU’s best hope of cushioning the effects of a total cutoff is to cooperate in a common strategy among member states. This would include immediate consumption cuts so as not to run down stocks, coordinated gas purchases from other countries, possibly rationing, and, perhaps most importantly, a willingness in countries less dependent on Russian gas to share what they have with those under more immediate threat.

Such cooperation would be a delicate task even in the best of political circumstances. Some internal tension is inherent in the EU, which is based on persuading member states to balance their national priorities with those of more than two dozen sovereign neighbors.

The gas crisis, however, has hit at a time of political flux in the EU. The main facilitator of compromise in years past – former German Chancellor Angela Merkel – has gone. In France, the EU’s other heavyweight, recent elections have left President Emmanuel Macron without a working majority in parliament.

And on Thursday, an 18-month-old unity coalition collapsed in Italy, which is another major customer for Russian gas. It had been led by Mario Draghi, a former head of the European Central Bank vocally supportive of the EU’s tough stand on the Ukraine war.

Remo Casilli/Reuters
Attendees applaud Italy's Prime Minister Mario Draghi as he arrives at the lower house of Parliament ahead of a vote of confidence in the government on July 21, 2022. He lost the vote and tendered his resignation.

While EU governments have long anticipated a tighter supply of Russian gas, they haven’t yet done much to coordinate their responses. Individual states have been scrambling to do their own deals with alternative suppliers.

Still, the EU’s own central cabinet in Brussels – the European Commission – is hopeful the tide is beginning to turn back toward coordination and cooperation.

This week, it asked member states to cut back gas usage by 15% through next spring, a voluntary target it said would become mandatory in the “likely” event Russia cuts supplies altogether. “Russia is blackmailing us,” European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said. The policy still needs the approval of EU governments.

The steeper obstacle may be persuading countries to put in place a formal arrangement for sharing gas supplies across the EU, which could be critical to coping with a full Russian shutdown. So far, none of the major EU countries that buy significant amounts of gas from non-Russian sources, such as France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Spain, has signaled support.

The optimists in Brussels, however, point to the last major crisis that hit the EU, the COVID-19 pandemic. Then, too, member countries’ initial instinct was to go it alone, shutting borders and hoarding medical equipment and other supplies. But ultimately, they chose cooperation.

Once pandemic shutdowns eased, wealthier northern states like Germany agreed to use their strong credit positions to back mutualized EU borrowing that funded a multibillion-euro recovery package disproportionately benefiting poorer member states.

And the Ukraine war, rather than denting this unity, has – at least so far – reinforced it.

Within days of Russia’s invasion, the EU adopted unprecedentedly strong sanctions against Moscow. It also used its financial heft to funnel hundreds of millions of dollars in assistance for Ukraine, agreeing for the first time to fund the purchase of military equipment.

Mr. Putin seems to expect that gas shortages will cause so much damage to European economies and so much discomfort to shivering citizens that EU unity will burst at the seams.

But an opinion survey in Germany last week found 70% of respondents determined to stand firm in supporting Ukraine despite rising energy prices. And Ms. Merkel’s successor as chancellor, Olaf Scholz, has reaffirmed his government’s commitment to sanctioning and isolating Mr. Putin’s regime.

He said too much was at stake to retreat. Germans’ own security and liberty depended on not allowing Mr. Putin to “get away” with his attempt to bomb Ukraine into submission, he wrote in a recent op-ed in a leading German newspaper.

“The autocrats of the world,” he added, “are watching very closely to see if [Mr. Putin] succeeds.”

The Explainer

Germany wants clean, reliable energy. But first, to survive winter.

German leaders are making headlines for their aggressive pursuit of liquefied natural gas. Will the rapid rollout actually boost the country’s energy security?

Frank Molter/DPA/AP
Ships are loaded and unloaded at the port of Brunsbuettel, Germany, March 1, 2022. The area is under discussion as a site for a new liquefied natural gas terminal, which would re-gasify the supercooled form of natural gas that arrives on ships.
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With half of Germany’s natural gas and a third of its oil coming from Russia, energy independence is becoming a matter of national security for Europe’s largest economy. 

Germany hopes to ease vulnerability by building liquefied natural gas terminals, which re-gasify the supercooled form of natural gas that arrives on ships. The push for LNG opens up new gas supplies, but still raises questions about energy security. Namely, is Germany simply switching its dependence from Russia to the United States?

Imports of U.S. LNG into Europe reached a historic high in 2021, and German demand will increase that flow.

“Say we flip contracts [from Russia’s Gazprom] to the U.S., and then in two years Donald Trump is president again,” says Henning Gloystein, director of energy, climate, and resources for Eurasia Group. “We know that he imposes tariffs and uses energy as political leverage. And that worries a lot of people in Europe.” 

Europeans are aware of the pitfalls of single suppliers. Long term, analysts say there will be a greater emphasis on diversity of supply – and on green energy alternatives – but right now Germany is buying up gas from wherever it can get it.

Germany wants clean, reliable energy. But first, to survive winter.

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Energy interdependence worked for Germany before Russia invaded Ukraine; now it’s clear that energy revenues help fund Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war machine. Energy independence from “individual suppliers” is becoming a matter of national security, says German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. 

That vulnerability was made even more evident this month by a halt in natural gas flows from Nord Stream 1 – the massive gas pipeline connecting Russia and Germany – for 10 days of scheduled maintenance. Russia only partially resumed flow today, and the European Commission President likened Mr. Putin’s actions to blackmail. 

Germany is largely dependent on Russian energy, with half its natural gas and a third of its oil coming from that country. There’s currently no other way to quickly secure Europe’s supply of energy for heating, transportation, and industry, says the German government. But they’re trying. Leaders have decided to build liquefied natural gas terminals, which opens up new energy supplies but also raises a bevy of questions about Germany’s energy security.

How realistic are Germany’s plans to switch to LNG as a replacement for Russian gas? 

Nuclear energy has been phased out, and renewables such as wind aren’t yet ready to pick up the slack, so lawmakers have decided that LNG is the answer to Germany’s energy crisis. They’ve announced plans to build two domestic LNG terminals, which re-gasify the supercooled form of natural gas that arrives on ships. Leasing floating terminals and securing supply via terminals elsewhere in Europe is also in the works. Essentially, Germany is trying to buy whatever it can, from wherever it can. 

The short-term fear is that energy supplies will need to be rationed as Europe heads into winter, which means industry won’t get what it needs while households could be without heat when they need it the most. At the most extreme, rationing and skyrocketing gas prices could result in deaths among lower-income households during the brutal winter. With the high stakes, EU lawmakers are working urgently to shore up reserves. They have also been working with Qatar – a dictatorship – as a possible future supply of LNG. 

It’s still unclear whether LNG will do the trick, as Germany’s dependence is so “massive,” says Axel Ruppert, project manager focusing on peace and security issues at Rosa Luxemburg Stiftung’s Brussels office. “Many people within German government are scratching their heads to work out the whole interrelation of supply that’s there, the energy shifts that will be needed, and the terminals that are required, the prices demanded [by LNG suppliers], and the timeframe in which this can all happen.”

Does building LNG terminals push Germany further away from a green energy transition?

LNG is a fossil fuel, and building LNG terminals doesn’t bring Europe’s largest economy any closer to carbon neutrality or meeting the Paris climate agreement. But analysts say lawmakers aren’t abandoning their environmental goals.

Consider the fact that the Germans aren’t willing to sign traditional long-term LNG supply contracts, which are typically 25-30 years in length, says Henning Gloystein, director of energy, climate, and resources for Eurasia Group. Instead, officials are lobbying for contracts of eight to 12 years, to enable an easier transition to hydrogen as part of future gas supply. 

“If you look at the fixed LNG terminals that the Germans will build … that will almost certainly be designed in a way that they can be transferred and switched to importing liquid ammonia in the future, which can then be cracked into hydrogen gas and fed into the system,” says Mr. Gloystein.

The government has also said it would bring forward its 100% renewables target by five years to 2035. Doubling down on natural gas will create “a short term increase on emissions,” says Mr. Gloystein, “but to compensate they will try and accelerate the de-carbonization of its economy in the longer term.”

This dual agenda – to rapidly boost domestic LNG production while also weaning off fossil fuels – means Germany’s overall energy supply will go through a “really awkward cycle,” Mr. Gloystein adds, especially considering new terminals usually require 20 years for return on investment. LNG demand is sky-high now, but by the time the local terminals are all up and running, demand should be dropping off.

By buying LNG, is Germany simply switching reliance on Russia to dependence on the United States? 

Imports of U.S. liquefied natural gas into the EU had already reached a historic high in 2021, with a value of about €12 billion ($12.2 billion). The huge amount of demand in the near term definitely means buying more from the U.S., and that flow should only increase as Russia’s gas supply gets choked off. 

That raises concerns. “Say we flip contracts [from Russia’s Gazprom] to the U.S., and then in two years Donald Trump is president again,” says Mr. Gloystein. “We know that he imposes tariffs and uses energy as political leverage. And that worries a lot of people in Europe.” 

Ultimately, Europeans are aware of the pitfalls of single suppliers, and that’s partly why leaders are visiting Qatar, Norway, and elsewhere to shore up supplies. Longer term, there’s going to be an emphasis on diversity of supply, but right now it’s buy, buy, buy from wherever they can get it. 

How will Germany’s plan to use LNG impact the rest of Europe? 

“This is actually, quietly, a very closely coordinated effort across the European Union,” says Mr. Gloystein. “It’s just Germany gets all the headlines, because it’s the biggest economy, and it has the most awkward relationship with Russia.”

In other words, it’s all hands on deck, with cooperation across Europe where needed. 

For example, the Germans are working with the Dutch, who’ve ordered an additional floating LNG terminal, which will help feed northern Europe. Spain has excess LNG import capacity, which may be shared with Italy and other neighbors who rely heavily on Russian imports. 

“I’m not certain whether the public sees energy as some sort of European love project that they now have to do together, but it’s certainly helped bring governments together,” says Mr. Gloystein. 

“I mean, governments have disagreed on virtually everything before this war. Poland, Hungary, Germany are now agreeing on virtually everything.”

Points of Progress

What's going right

Roofs and rights – protecting homeless people and migrant workers

Our progress roundup highlights two approaches to change: In Houston, many different organizations worked together to help vulnerable people. In Indonesia, a lawsuit forced the government to act.

Jerome Delay/AP/File
Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, Liberia’s head of state from 2006 to 2018, has a foundation that is compiling data on women’s leadership in West Africa.

Roofs and rights – protecting homeless people and migrant workers

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For views on leadership, read what Canada is doing for the plastic problem, how a Liberian foundation is tracking women in government, and how Kazakh voters are limiting the powers of presidents.

1. Canada

Canada is phasing out single-use plastics to rein in pollution. The manufacturing and importing of difficult-to-recycle plastics will be prohibited this December, while a ban on the sale of single-use plastics will go into effect a year later to give businesses time to use up stocks. Six categories of plastic are part of the legislation, including checkout bags, cutlery, stir sticks, and certain straws. The government estimates the measure will reduce plastic waste by 1.3 million metric tons (1.43 tons) over the next decade, “keeping our communities and the places we love clean,” as Steven Guilbeault, minister of environment and climate change, put it.

Press Association/AP/File
Sixteen million plastic straws are used daily in Canada. Their manufacture, import, sale, and export will be phased out by 2025.

Single-use plastics, which account for 40% of the plastic produced globally, are often used for only a matter of minutes but can remain in the environment for hundreds of years. The United Nations endorsed the world’s first international resolution to curb plastic pollution worldwide earlier this year. But given the scale of the problem, environmentalists worry governments are not moving fast enough. “The government needs to shift into high gear by expanding the ban list and cutting overall plastic production,” said Sarah King, head of Greenpeace Canada’s oceans and plastics campaign.
Source: The Washington Post

2. United States

Twenty-five thousand previously unhoused people in Houston were moved into homes over the past decade. The city used to have one of the highest rates per capita of homelessness in the country and a jumbled and ineffective response system that wasted millions of public dollars. The number of homeless individuals has dropped 64% since public and private administrators together changed tack and adopted a coordinated “housing first” approach.  

The strategy is based on the idea that underlying issues like substance misuse, mental health, and unemployment can only be addressed meaningfully once the most vulnerable individuals have a safe place to live. While critics of the model point out that it prioritizes cases of chronic homelessness and may sideline behavioral intervention, the approach’s success is well documented. The vast majority of those provided houses or apartments through Houston’s program have remained housed two years later.

Importantly, the strategy brought service providers, aid organizations, and corporations that had previously operated in separate silos and even competed for funding into active cooperation. “The bottom line is that nearly everybody in Houston involved in homelessness got together around what works,” said Annise Parker, the former mayor of Houston. “That’s our secret sauce.”
Source: The New York Times

3. Liberia

A new data hub was launched to study and promote women’s representation in African governments. Women hold 24% of parliamentary seats across Africa, a number that closely reflects the global average. Rigorous and specific data on women in governance, however, is not readily accessible for most African nations. The Data Hub for Women’s Leadership in Public Governance will compile statistics on every branch of government, as well as research on gender quotas and gender-based legislation.

Jerome Delay/AP/File
Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, Liberia’s head of state from 2006 to 2018, has a foundation that is compiling data on women’s leadership in West Africa.

A handful of African countries rank among the top 20 nations for women’s representation in government, led by southern and East Africa. The data hub will focus first on 15 nations in West Africa before expanding. “Only when we know where we stand can we chart a path forward,” said Dr. Ophelia I. Weeks, executive director of the Ellen Johnson Sirleaf Presidential Center for Women and Development in Liberia, which launched the hub. The tool “will be invaluable to our work as we champion the rights of women and girls,” she added.
Source: Liberian Observer

4. Kazakhstan

Kazakhs voted overwhelmingly to approve constitutional changes that limit presidential power and strengthen democracy. Since independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, the Central Asian country of nearly 19 million people had long operated under an authoritarian system led by President Nursultan Nazarbayev. When he stepped down in 2019, he left an array of measures in place to maintain his influence.

The changes were proposed by Mr. Nazarbayev’s hand-picked successor, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, in the wake of violent protests this past January over economic and political grievances. The historic reforms amend one-third of the articles of the Kazakh Constitution, bolstering the role of Parliament, reestablishing a constitutional court, and putting an end to the former president’s powers and privileges. One amendment annuls Mr. Nazarbayev’s right to overrule local or regional leaders; another prohibits his relatives from holding office. Only 19% of voters voiced their opposition in the June 5 referendum, while 77% backed the reforms, with a turnout of over two-thirds of eligible voters.
Sources: Deutsche Welle, The Wall Street Journal

5. Indonesia

Indonesia issued a decree to protect migrant workers on foreign fishing vessels. Ships often hire Southeast Asian deckhands to reduce labor costs; accommodations tend to be poor, safety standards minimal, and labor inspections nonexistent. In recent years, Indonesian deckhands have reported cases of forced labor, withheld wages, debt bondage, and physical and sexual violence aboard ships that operate in isolated parts of the sea, often out of reach of regulators. These problems are exacerbated by diminishing fish stocks as companies struggle to stay profitable.

The recent decree comes in response to a lawsuit filed by three former migrant deckhands in protest of the Indonesian government’s failure to ratify legislation by 2019, as required under a national migrant-worker protection law from 2017. The measure applies standards outlined in a global U.N. International Labor Organization convention on labor in the fishing industry, lays the groundwork for an integrated migrant worker database, and allows for collective bargaining among workers, plus other practical measures to defend the labor rights of thousands of migrant fishers.
Source: Mongabay

Book review

Friendship tested, lives transformed in sublime novel ‘Fellowship Point’

Alice Elliott Dark’s magnificent novel affirms that change and growth are possible at any age. As her main characters let down their guard and shed old habits, they experience transformation.

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Author Alice Elliott Dark sets her sublime new novel, “Fellowship Point,” in Maine, which has long attracted writers with its rugged coastline and deep woodlands. 

The landscape lends itself to stories about tensions between locals and summer people, and between developers and conservationists. 

At the same time, she celebrates the beauty – and sticking points – of a lifelong friendship between two women whose choices have taken them down different paths. 

At the novel’s center is 80-year-old Agnes Lee, a writer who is beloved for a series of children’s books. She, her best friend, and several other families spend summers at Fellowship Point. But now that part of the property is under threat from developers, Agnes wants to enlist her friend’s help to stop it.   

It is hard to write about this novel without gushing. Its characters, settings, and deftly woven plot pull you right in, the better to soak in its reflections on aging, writing, stewardship, legacies, independence, and responsibility. At its heart, “Fellowship Point” is about caring for the places and people we love.

Friendship tested, lives transformed in sublime novel ‘Fellowship Point’

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"Fellowship Point," by Alice Elliott Dark, Scribner/Marysue Rucci Books, 592 pp.

Maine, long attractive to writers for its rocky coastlines, woodlands, and wildlife, lends itself to stories about tensions between locals and summer people, and between developers and conservationists. In her exquisitely written, utterly engrossing new novel, “Fellowship Point,” Alice Elliott Dark explores these strains while celebrating Maine’s gorgeous but threatened landscape. At the same time, she celebrates the beauty – and sticking points – of a lifelong friendship between two women whose choices have taken them down different paths.   

It is hard to write about this novel without gushing. You sink into it with a sigh of contentment, as into a hot bath. Its characters, settings, and deftly woven plot pull you right in, the better to soak in its reflections on aging, writing, stewardship, legacies, independence, and responsibility. At its heart, “Fellowship Point” is about caring for the places and people we love.

Dark is best known for her twice-filmed, prizewinning story, “In the Gloaming.” First published in The New Yorker in 1993, it is about a mother who, in losing a son to AIDS, rediscovers what it means to really love and be loved. Dark, who teaches creative writing at Rutgers-Newark, has been working on “Fellowship Point” for nearly 20 years. It shows. There is nothing half-baked about it.  

At the novel’s center is 80-year-old Agnes Lee, a writer who has never married. She is beloved for her “When Nan” series of children’s books about a plucky 9-year-old girl’s adventures, beginning with “When Nan Was a Lobsterman” in 1965 to the most recent installment, “When Nan Ran a Wind Farm.” But what Agnes considers her real work are her six “Franklin Square” novels, published one per decade under a pseudonym, which enabled her to write undercover about women from her tony Philadelphia social set. To her dismay, these women, like her best friend Polly Wister, made “themselves smaller in order to fit into the roles available to them. Their talents were subsumed into utility and support.” Agnes intended her books as “cautionary tales ... that real women would learn from.” 

We meet Agnes in 2000, struggling to write one last Franklin Square novel. She is less concerned about her recent cancer diagnosis than the future of Fellowship Point, the coastal peninsula in Maine where she has summered her whole life and felt most free and happy. In 1872, her great-grandfather, William Lee, a Philadelphia Quaker from a rich merchant family, bought 145 acres on Maine’s fictional Cape Deel and established the Fellowship Point Association with his brother and three Quaker friends. Its rules state that its five members would own shares in the association rather than individual plots of land. Further, shares tied to the five “capacious, yet not absurd” family cottages William designed were to be passed down to only one blood-relative member in each succeeding generation. Agnes and Polly are the current shareholders of their family’s cottages, Leeward and Meadowlee.  

William and his descendants have particularly treasured a 35-acre wildlife sanctuary at the property’s tip, dubbed the Sank. But to Agnes’ dismay, this hallowed land, formerly Abenaki territory, is threatened with desecration by a local developer who hopes to build a resort and village on Fellowship Point by luring shareholders with the promise of an economic windfall. Agnes’ counter-plan, which changes somewhat over the course of the novel, is to muster the required majority of shareholders – three votes – to dissolve the association and establish a trust to protect the land. She is counting on her friend Polly to support this move, but, frustratingly, Polly doesn’t do anything without consulting the men in her life.

Dark sets up a tug of war between Agnes’ strident independence and Polly’s deference to her self-important husband and money-hungry eldest son, who belittle her at every turn. Several contingent plotlines add intrigue, including the unfortunate ordeal of a smart local landscaper who is falsely accused of theft by Agnes’ ostentatious cousin Archie Lee, a shareholder eager to capitalize on his holdings. The other two original families no longer come to Fellowship Point, and we eventually learn what happened to one of them 40 years earlier. Dark cleverly uses Agnes’ intimate notebooks written at the time to pull off this long flashback.  

“Fellowship Point” has the complexity, pace, and length of an absorbing 19th century epic. Another narrative strand involves an ambitious New York editorial assistant named Maud Silver, who hopes she can jumpstart her publishing career by convincing Agnes to write a memoir callled “Agnes When,” about how she came to write the “When Nan” books, now celebrated for their proto-feminism. Agnes, with big secrets to hide, pushes back, but can’t help being impressed by Maud’s mettle – especially when she learns that the young woman, a single mother, is further saddled with the guardianship of her intractably depressed mother. 

The novel’s various plotlines dovetail with amazing grace, culminating in a moving, well-earned climax. “Fellowship Point” is, on one level, the story of how Agnes gradually lets down her guard and opens up, beginning with her uncharacteristic decision to share her notebooks from the early 1960s, a turning point in her life. “It’s awful what we do to ourselves by not talking openly,” she comments. Polly, too, blossoms with her recognition of how the “habit of a lifetime of acquiescence” had prevented her from recognizing her own intelligence. This magnificent novel affirms that change and growth are possible at any age.  

Heller McAlpin reviews books regularly for The Monitor, The Wall Street Journal, and NPR.

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Renewing consensus in democracy

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On July 20, a bipartisan group of senators proposed reforms to an archaic election law that was used to justify last year’s attempt by a mob at the Capitol to overturn the 2020 presidential electoral vote count. A day earlier, the House passed a bill with strong bipartisan support to codify federal protections for gay and interracial marriage. Those measures followed the adoption last month of the first federal gun control law in a generation.

That legislative activity underscores the design of the U.S. Constitution to resolve national disputes through consensus. It also provides confirmation of a gradual shift toward civic renewal measured by a new index of political division over the past 40 years. While “disagreement, not unity, is the normal state of affairs in American public life,” researchers at Vanderbilt University note, “the path to a more unified country is not out of reach.”

There have been sparks of progress in other areas, too. A study by the University of Colorado Boulder showed prolific bipartisan responses to climate change in many of the most divided state legislatures.

At a time often described as the most divided point in American history since the Civil War, bipartisan proposals in Congress and state legislatures are proving the wisdom of entrusting critical public issues to the American people and their representatives.

Renewing consensus in democracy

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AP
Then-Vice President Mike Pence, left, and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, officiate at a joint session of the House and Senate to count the Electoral College votes cast in the 2020 presidential election, at the Capitol in Washington, Jan. 6, 2021.

On July 20, a bipartisan group of senators proposed reforms to an archaic election law that was used to justify last year’s attempt by a mob at the Capitol to overturn the 2020 presidential electoral vote count. A day earlier, the House passed a bill with strong bipartisan support to codify federal protections for gay and interracial marriage. Those measures followed the adoption last month of the first federal gun control law in a generation.

That legislative activity underscores the design of the U.S. Constitution to resolve national disputes through consensus. It also provides confirmation of a gradual shift toward civic renewal measured by a new index of political division over the past 40 years. While “disagreement, not unity, is the normal state of affairs in American public life,” researchers at Vanderbilt University note, “the path to a more unified country is not out of reach.”

The two election reform bills introduced in the Senate mark a significant step toward restoring public trust in democracy and its institutions. The proposals would clarify ambiguities in the 1887 Electoral Count Act, which former President Donald Trump and his supporters used to challenge the validity of the 2020 election results. They would vest governors with sole authority to appoint electors to the electoral college and raise the threshold for challenging a state’s election results in Congress to one-fifth of the members of each chamber. Currently one member of the House and Senate can require Congress to debate a state’s results.

The bills also stipulate that the vice president has no authority to reject a state’s slate of electors, and add safeguards to ensure that mail-in ballots are accurately processed by the U.S. Postal Service. Drafted by 16 senators (nine Republicans, seven Democrats), the reforms reflect an earnest attempt at “finding common ground on a matter that is so foundational to our democracy: faith in the system that selects our leaders,” said Matthew Weil, executive director of the Democracy Program at the Bipartisan Policy Center, who helped shape the bills.

There have been sparks of progress in other areas, too.  A study published in March by the University of Colorado Boulder showed prolific bipartisan responses to climate change in many of the most divided state legislatures. According to the study, between 2015 and 2020, bipartisan-sponsored legislation promoting decarbonization strategies among businesses and financial incentives for shifting to renewable energies reflected that “elite polarization” on climate issues is abating.

At a time often described as the most divided point in American history since the Civil War, bipartisan proposals in Congress and state legislatures are proving the founding wisdom of entrusting critical public issues to the American people and their representatives.

A Christian Science Perspective

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Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

No lost summer

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Disappointments and unpleasant experiences can leave us feeling an absence of good. But is there a way to change our thinking about such times, even when long past? When we understand God as all-good, ever-present Love, we find we have the opportunity to discover the good that always existed and to uplift and heal our thoughts about past experiences.

No lost summer

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Today's Christian Science Perspective audio edition

Every summer, hopes soar for happy, warm days and new memories to record. But various factors have made this summer feel different in some ways, tinged with uncertainty, and making many people long for a more carefree time. Some may even feel they’ll be writing these months off as a “lost summer.”

I’m reminded of a summer long ago that I considered to be a failure and documented in my memory as a lost summer. I had answered an ad for a job as a girls’ camp counselor at a newly formed summer camp in another state and was quickly hired. As a teenager, I was eager, enthused, and excited. To prepare, I got certified to teach swimming and water sports, and I learned new games and campfire stories to share with my campers.

When I arrived at the camp, my expectations plummeted. The lake turned out to be a big mudhole with no beach. There was no watercraft – not a boat, a canoe, or a raft. There was no sports equipment for games and no area for a campfire. When I returned home, I didn’t even want to talk about it, and that summer became merely a distant memory filled with disappointment.

Yet recently, I read in “Science and Health with Key to the Scriptures” by Mary Baker Eddy, “God, good, being ever present, it follows in divine logic that evil, the suppositional opposite of good, is never present” (p. 72). Christian Science teaches that God, who created all of us as beloved children, is only good, has all power, and is ever-present divine Love, leaving no room for evil. In another book, Mrs. Eddy wrote: “The human history needs to be revised, and the material record expunged” (“Retrospection and Introspection,” p. 22). “Revise” means “to look over again in order to correct or improve,” and meanings for ”expunge” include “to strike out, obliterate, or mark for deletion” (merriam-webster.com).

Instead of either accepting or ignoring past events, I could mentally revisit and revise my account of a failed summer by considering what I knew about God, which would enable me to discover the good that was always present. I asked myself: Was God, ever-present good, with me even there at the mudhole? Yes. And, with God’s nature as exclusively good, could that experience have been bad? No.

As a Christian Science Sunday School student, I had learned the Bible story about Nehemiah calling the people of Jerusalem together to rebuild the wall of the city, which they did despite many attempted diversions from enemies seeking to thwart the good work. After the wall was eventually completed, at one point he asked of God, regarding his efforts to keep the house of God in good order: “Remember me, O my God, concerning this, and wipe not out my good deeds that I have done for the house of my God, and for the offices thereof” (Nehemiah 13:14).

This inspired me, in prayer, to ask God to show me how divine Love had naturally aided me in accomplishing good deeds for myself and others at that summer camp.

One by one, like building blocks of good, triumphs I’d lost sight of filled my consciousness. I saw that only God’s works are worthy of remembrance and that being and doing good wherever we are is the vital, valuable work of God.

I recalled how I’d calmed a child who was afraid of spiders (especially at night), and she’d slept peacefully from then on. I remembered I’d strained my neck while playing a game with my campers, and in pain, I stepped into the woods to be alone and silently prayed, “God, I need Your help because I need to work with these children.” The pain immediately left, and the healing was permanent.

One night a counselor was reported missing. I searched for her and found her wandering on the road; she was sleepwalking. Gently, I told her that she could walk with Love, fearlessly, and feel God’s power and guidance right there. When she awoke, she confided to me about a traumatic experience she’d been through. I assured her that she could be free of sleepwalking because God and all of us loved her very much. When camp ended, she thanked me because after that night, the sleepwalking had stopped.

There can never be a lost or wasted period of time when we’re yielding to and following God as Love. At times, I’ve found that the blessings that come from looking back on difficult memories are lessons we learn. When we consider what has happened, with an honest assessment of the experience, we can make corrections as we move forward. And this can uplift and heal how we think about events both past and present.

This summer – and always – we have opportunities to prove God’s goodness as present and powerful, here and everywhere, in all our lives.

A message of love

Heading back home

Andy Newman/Florida Keys News Bureau/AP
Papa, a 185-pound loggerhead sea turtle, crawls into the Atlantic Ocean off Marathon, Florida, July 21, 2022, while Turtle Hospital staff and Ernest "Papa" Hemingway look-alikes watch. Named by its rescuer after being found entangled in fishing line, the reptile was treated at the Florida Keys-based hospital and cleared for release on the 123rd anniversary of Hemingway's birth.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Jacob Turcotte and Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thank you for joining us today. Please come back tomorrow when our Stephen Humphries takes a rollicking look at what it takes to make it as a music band at a time when the industry has undergone revolutionary changes.

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