Mexico's López Obrador will dominate Congress, with record female contingent

Mexico's President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador aims to radically re-shape Mexico. His party's dominance in Congress will help him deliver on his pledge but it lacks the two-thirds majority needed to make changes to the country's constitution. 

Moises Castillo/AP
Mexico's President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador acknowledges his supporters as he arrives in Mexico City's main square, the Zocalo, on July 1, 2018. Mr. López Obrador will have an outright majority in Congress, with the highest number of female lawmakers in Mexican history.

The party of Mexico's president-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador and its allies will have an outright majority in Congress but will not surpass the two-thirds threshold needed to change the constitution, estimates show.

Mr. López Obrador, a leftist, won a landslide victory on Sunday and will wield considerable power in a Congress set to have the highest concentration of female lawmakers in Mexican history.

For the first time, there may be more female senators than male, and a nearly 50-50 split in the lower house, Mexico's electoral institute projects, underlining the far-reaching consequences of López Obrador's win.

Tapping into widespread disillusionment with years of violence, corruption, and inequality in Latin America's No. 2 economy, López Obrador won about 53 percent of votes.

His victory has upended Mexico's political status quo, in which just two parties have held the presidency since 1929, and drawn a line under decades of technocratic rule. No ruling party has held an absolute majority in Congress since 1997.

López Obrador's triumph extended to both houses of Congress, where his National Regeneration Movement (MORENA) party and its partners are seen winning 61 percent of seats in the 500-member lower house, projections by pollster Consulta Mitofsky show.

His coalition, which includes the leftist Labor Party and the Social Encounter Party (PES), a religious, socially conservative anti-abortion group, is projected to win 53 percent of seats in the 128-member Senate, Mitofsky said.

The congressional advantage will help López Obrador deliver on his pledge to radically reshape Mexico, which he intends to do by helping the poor while also keeping investors happy.

"It makes the day-to-day easier," Carlos Urzúa, López Obrador's pick for finance minister, told Reuters on Monday.

Though the estimates suggest López Obrador will lack the two-thirds majority in both houses needed to make constitutional changes, he may still benefit from defections in Congress. Mr. Urzúa said the government had no plans to change the constitution.

Final congressional results are expected by Saturday.

New Congress

The results are a severe blow to the established parties.

The ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) which governed Mexico continuously from 1929 to 2000, and again from 2012, is seen with 45 seats in the lower house, according to Mitofsky, down from over 200 in the 2012 election.

The PRI is likely to get 13 seats in the Senate, Mitofsky said, down from over 50 six years ago.

Tainted by corruption scandals, the PRI has become increasingly reviled under current-President Enrique Peña Nieto for failing to get a grip on security and lift the economy.

The National Action Party, which ruled between 2000 and 2012 and became embroiled in a grisly drug war, was seen winning 82 seats in the lower house and 24 in the Senate, according to Mitofsky, well below their 2012 tallies.

Still, López Obrador's coalition may prove unwieldy. He will have to balance interests of leftist nationalists, social liberals, and religious conservatives.

So far López Obrador has kept a lid on the potential conflict by adopting ambiguous stances on contentious issues such as abortion, gay marriage, and economic liberalization.

But his tie-up with the PES may prove tough, and it faces resistance from supporters on the left.

This story was reported by the Thomson Reuters Foundation.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to

QR Code to Mexico's López Obrador will dominate Congress, with record female contingent
Read this article in
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today