Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg: 'Republican Party is in trouble'

Though the GOP has notched recent electoral success, "there are no more people calling themselves Republican," says longtime Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg.

Michael Bonfigli / The Christian Science Monitor
Stanley Greenberg, Chairman of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research and a founder of Democracy Corps speaks to reporters at the Monitor Breakfast series in the Capital Hilton Hotel in Washington, DC on Dec. 16, 2011.

Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg is chairman of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research and cofounder, with James Carville, of Democracy Corps, a liberal research and strategy group. He was the guest speaker at the Dec. 16 Monitor breakfast in Washington.

Voters' view of both parties:

"Both parties ... are in trouble, relative to their historical position.... This election will not be governed by normal rules.... [Voters] are going to be determined to throw out people that they think are making America politically dysfunctional."

Democrats' challenge with young voters:

"If you look at [the] drop in identification with Democrats amongst youth ... we are now at 38 percent, whereas it was 46 percent in the 2008 elections.... It is a long way back for young people. [They] have been hit hardest by this economy."

Republicans' problems winning new voters:

"The Republican Party is in trouble. It is not winning voters.... There are no more people calling themselves Republican ... even though they had a landslide election in 2010.... It has become a cult. Independents are now equal to it [in size]."

The opening for a third party:

"Almost any third party helps [President] Obama.... [When Ross Perot ran in 1992] those were happy times compared to now in terms of the mood of the country.... There is going to be [a third-party candidate]."

Undecided voters:

"They hate both parties equally. They are marginally unfavorable to Obama, but they hate [Mitt] Romney.... [It is] more likely they will vote for some third-party, antipolitics candidate that will be out there to gather up that vote."

Changing views of gay marriage:

"Regardless of what else is going on in the world, it is just this inexorable movement toward acceptance and drop of resistance to it."

Politicians' reluctance to ask for voter sacrifice:

"Sacrifice is an elite term.... When [voters] hear it is time for sacrifice, they are cautious about: Is there really going to be shared sacrifice; can we trust them?... There is one bipartisan issue in the country – that rich people ought to pay more for addressing our problems."

Get daily or weekly updates from delivered to your inbox. Sign up today.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to

QR Code to Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg: 'Republican Party is in trouble'
Read this article in
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today