Eyes on Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as count continues

President Donald Trump wins Florida, a hotly contested battleground state, but neither candidate yet has the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.

Carlos Barria/Reuters
President Donald Trump speaks in the East Room of the White House in Washington, Nov. 4, 2020. Mr. Trump’s extraordinary early-morning declaration called for outstanding ballots not to be counted.

President Donald Trump carried the prized battleground of Florida, then he and Democrat Joe Biden shifted their focus early Wednesday to three Northern industrial states – Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania – that could prove crucial in determining who wins the White House.

A late burst of votes in Wisconsin from Milwaukee gave Mr. Biden a small lead, but it was too early to call the race. Hundreds of thousands of votes were also outstanding in Michigan and Pennsylvania. 

A changing electorate in Arizona handed historic victories to Democrats in the former Republican stronghold, with Joe Biden becoming only the second Democratic presidential candidate since 1948 to win the state and retired astronaut Mark Kelly giving the party both Senate seats for the first time in nearly 70 years.

Mr. Biden carried California by 4 million votes. California has now voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election since 1992.

But early Wednesday, neither candidate had the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.

Vote tabulations routinely continue beyond Election Day, and states largely set the rules for when the count has to end. In presidential elections, a key point is the date in December when presidential electors meet. That’s set by federal law.

Mr. Trump made premature claims of victories in several key states from the White House early Wednesday morning and said he would take the election to the Supreme Court to stop the counting. It was unclear exactly what legal action he might try to pursue.

Several states allow mailed-in votes to be accepted after Election Day, as long as they were postmarked by Tuesday. That includes Pennsylvania, where ballots postmarked by Nov. 3 can be accepted if they arrive up to three days after the election.

Mr. Trump suggested those ballots shouldn’t be counted. But Mr.  Biden, briefly appearing in front of supporters in Delaware, urged patience, saying the election “ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.”

“It’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who’s won this election,” Mr. Biden said. “That’s the decision of the American people.”

Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf tweeted that his state had over 1 million ballots to be counted and that he “promised Pennsylvanians that we would count every vote and that’s what we’re going to do."

Legal experts were dubious of Mr. Trump's declaration.

“I do not see a way that he could go directly to the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes. There could be fights in specific states, and some of those could end up at the Supreme Court. But this is not the way things work,” said Rick Hasen, a professor of law and political science at the University of California-Irvine.

Mr. Trump has appointed three of the high court's nine justices including, most recently, Amy Coney Barrett.

Democrats typically outperform Republicans in mail voting, while the GOP looks to make up ground in Election Day turnout. That means the early margins between the candidates could be influenced by which type of votes – early or Election Day – were being reported by the states.

Throughout the campaign, Mr. Trump cast doubt about the integrity of the election and repeatedly suggested that mail-in ballots should not be counted. Both campaigns had teams of lawyers at the ready to move into battleground states if there were legal challenges.

The tight overall contest reflected a deeply polarized nation struggling to respond to the worst health crisis in more than a century, with millions of lost jobs, and a reckoning on racial injustice.

Mr. Trump kept several states, including Texas, Iowa, and Ohio, where Mr. Biden had made a strong play in the final stages of the campaign. But Mr. Biden also picked off states where Mr. Trump sought to compete, including New Hampshire and Minnesota. But Florida was the biggest, fiercely contested battleground on the map, with both campaigns battling over the 29 Electoral College votes that went to Mr. Trump.

Wisconsin, which Trump narrowly won in 2016, was another prized state. The president seems certain to request a recount. State law allows for the apparent losing candidate to pay for a recount if the margin of defeat is less than 1%.

The president adopted Florida as his new home state, wooed its Latino community, particularly Cuban-Americans, and held rallies there incessantly. For his part, Mr. Biden deployed his top surrogate – President Barack Obama – there twice in the campaign’s closing days and benefitted from a $100 million pledge in the state from Michael Bloomberg.

Control of the Senate was at stake, too: Democrats needed to net three seats if Mr. Biden captured the White House to gain control of all of Washington for the first time in a decade. But Republicans maintained several seats that were considered vulnerable, including in Iowa, Texas, and Kansas. The House was expected to remain under Democratic control.

The pandemic – and Mr. Trump’s handling of it – was the inescapable focus for 2020.

For Mr. Trump, the election stood as a judgment on his four years in office, a term in which he bent Washington to his will, challenged faith in its institutions and changed how America was viewed across the globe. Rarely trying to unite a country divided along lines of race and class, he has often acted as an insurgent against the government he led while undermining the nation’s scientists, bureaucracy and media.

The momentum from early voting carried into Election Day, as an energized electorate produced long lines at polling sites throughout the country. Turnout was higher than in 2016 in numerous counties, including all of Florida, nearly every county in North Carolina and more than 100 counties in both Georgia and Texas. That tally seemed sure to increase as more counties reported their turnout figures.

Voters braved worries of the coronavirus, threats of polling place intimidation and expectations of long lines caused by changes to voting systems, but appeared undeterred as turnout appeared it would easily surpass the 139 million ballots cast four years ago.

No major problems arose on Tuesday, outside the typical glitches of a presidential election: Some polling places opened late, robocalls provided false information to voters in Iowa and Michigan, and machines or software malfunctioned in some counties in the battleground states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Texas.

The cybersecurity agency at the Department of Homeland Security said there were no outward signs by midday of any malicious activity.

With the coronavirus now surging anew, voters ranked the pandemic and the economy as top concerns in the race between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden, according to AP VoteCast, a national survey of the electorate.

Voters were especially likely to call the public health crisis the nation’s most important issue, with the economy following close behind. Fewer named health care, racism, law enforcement, immigration, or climate change

The survey found that Mr. Trump’s leadership loomed large in voters’ decision-making. Nearly two-thirds of voters said their vote was about Mr. Trump – either for him or against him.

This story was reported by The Associated Press. AP writers Robert Burns, Kevin Freking, Aamer Madhani, Deb Riechmann and Will Weissert in Washington; Bill Barrow and Haleluya Hadero in Atlanta; Jeff Martin in Cobb County, Georgia; Thomas Beaumont in Des Moines; Juan Lozano in Houston; Corey Williams in West Bloomfield, Michigan; Kathy McCormack in Concord, New Hampshire; and Natalie Pompilio contributed to this report.

Editor's note: This story was updated at 6:50 a.m.

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