Why Bernie Sanders has the most to prove in Democratic presidential debate

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders faces his biggest test in his presidential campaign yet as he goes head-to-head with Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton in the party's second primary debate.

Jim Cole/AP/File
Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt, speaks during a campaign stop at the William B. Cashin Senior Activity Center in Manchester, N.H. Sanders faces the biggest test yet of his insurgent presidential campaign on Saturday night, when he faces off with Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton in the party's second primary debate.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders faces the biggest test yet of his insurgent presidential campaign on Saturday night, when he faces off with Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton in the party's second primary debate.

His goal is clear: Reset a contest that increasingly looks like little more than a march to the nomination for Clinton.

That effort will be complicated by fresh terrorist strikes that have captured the world's attention. Despite Sanders' focus on domestic issues, national security and foreign policy will play prominent roles in the debate, with the string of deadly attacks in Paris that killed more than 120 people front and center.

All the candidates quickly denounced the attacks in statements on Friday night. Party officials said the forum will continue as planned.

Foreign relations is an area where Clinton, a former secretary of state, is in the strongest position to talk about the attacks and the U.S. effort to dismantle the Islamic State group. But her tenure is tied to that of Obama, who's struggled to contain the threat from Islamic militants in Syria and associated terror attacks across the globe.

A spate of good news for Clinton since the party's first debate a month ago has helped her rebuild a lead in the early voting states, an uptick that comes amid other signs the party is coalescing behind her.

An Associated Press survey of superdelegates published Friday found that half of the Democratic insiders are publicly backing Clinton.

Sanders may have inadvertently facilitated some of her progress in the first debate, when he seemed to dismiss the controversy over her use of a private email account and server by saying Americans are tired of hearing about her "damn emails."

Since then, he's given her no more passes.

Though careful never to mention Clinton by name, Sanders has drawn a series of contrasts with the former secretary of state on issues that include her backing of the war in Iraq, trade and the minimum wage.

Sanders' advisers say he plans to discuss the email issue only if the moderators of the debate in Des Moines, Iowa, bring it up. That could be a signal to organizers that he's is open to the topic.

"He's definitely going to cut a harder contrast on core issues," said Larry Cohen, a senior adviser to Sanders. "But it's not going to be over personal style."

The problem for Sanders is that Clinton agrees with him on some of the core domestic issues of his campaign, having shifted to the left in recent weeks to oppose construction of the Keystone XL pipeline and the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.

"It's really tough for him," said Gina Glantz, manager of Bill Bradley's 2000 presidential campaign, which posed a primary challenge to then-Vice President Al Gore. "He's in a difficult position where his current arguments aren't enough to get beyond his core voter."

While Sanders aides bragged about their candidate's lax preparation for the last debate, they shuttled him to his campaign headquarters in Burlington, Vermont, for mock sessions before this match-up. Clinton, too, has kept her schedule relatively clear over the last several days, leaving plenty of time for rehearsals.

"They are absolutely prepared for the fact that Bernie's going to come out swinging," said Maria Cardona, a Democraticstrategist who worked for Clinton's failed 2008 White House campaign. "The question is how it's going to happen."

Clinton supporters say their candidate will remain focused on laying out her vision for the future rather than striking back at Sanders. Her campaign has about $15.2 million in television advertising planned through mid-February, compared with a $3.2 million Sanders ad buy that ends next week, according to Kantar Media's CMAG advertising tracker.

The Service Employees International Union, an influential force in Democratic politics, is expected to issue their endorsement on Tuesday, according to people knowledgeable about the union's process. Clinton has been backed by more than 72 percent of members in all their internal polling, including the most recent survey conducted a few weeks ago.

Her team is hoping to notch another win after a series of strong moments since the first debate. Clinton has benefited from Vice President Joe Biden's decision to forgo a run and well-received testimony before a Republican-led congressional panel investigating the deadly 2012 attacks in Benghazi, Libya.

They're also trying not to alienate the Sanders backers whose support they'll need should Clinton win the nomination.

"As a front-runner your job is to do no harm," said Cardona. "She's going to want to be a comfortable home for the Bernie supporters toward the end of this process."

Sanders, too, may face tougher attacks. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, who's struggled to break 5 percent in national preference polls, has questioned Sanders' commitment to the Democratic Party and President Barack Obama, still a popular figure among Democrats.

A more aggressive tone would mark a shift for a race that has so far been notable for its civility. Democrats have spent months boasting about the substantive tone of their contest, attempting to set-up a favorable early contrast with the often carnival-like insults of the crowded Republican primary.

Their bragging may come to an end after Saturday night.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to CSMonitor.com.