What’s behind the NFL ratings drop?
Pro football continues to pull in the largest TV audiences, but some wonder whether ratings hiccups portend a long-term trend.
—National Football League playoffs take center stage in January. Pro football continues to pull in the largest TV audiences, but some wonder whether ratings hiccups portend a long-term trend.
Viewership was down by double digits for prime-time games through much of 2016. Among the reasons cited: the retirement of quarterback Peyton Manning, the absence of suspended quarterback Tom Brady during the first month of play, a nation diverted by the spectacle of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton battling, and growing concerns over player safety.
“I think there were a lot of ingredients in the stew this year,” said Mike Tirico, former play-by-play voice of ESPN’s “Monday Night Football” who is part of NBC’s NFL coverage.
Mr. Tirico also mentioned a generational shift in marquee teams and players, which can lead to declines in interest until fans become familiar with the next rivalries and stars. And it’s only a recent occurrence for the NFL to schedule Thursday prime-time games through the entirety of the regular season, points out Tirico. That means prime-time games are played on Sunday, Monday, and Thursday. It’s unlikely that a 32-team league can come up with compelling matchups for most of those time slots.
Despite the concerns, analysts don’t see 2016 as a canary – or concussion – in the coal mine. By late in the season, ratings for all games (not just those during prime time) were off by 10 percent, according to ESPN, rebounding from a previous deficit of 14 percent through Election Day. And the resurgent Dallas Cowboys, who were featured in several December prime-time games, generated strong interest.
Translation: By Super Sunday, the NFL believes it will be close to its normal lofty TV perch. But the question will hang around till next season: Has the glut of pro football, plus concerns over player safety, dimmed its status as America’s most popular sport?