Topic: UVA Center for Politics
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Gas prices and five other liabilities for Obama in 2012
“Yes We Can” was so 2008. Now President Obama is the incumbent, with a record to defend. More than whom the Republicans nominate to run against him in 2012, how voters perceive Mr. Obama’s accomplishments and liabilities – two highly subjective categories, at times overlapping – will determine whether he gets four more years. Here are his top six liabilities, including still-high gas prices:
All Content
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Hilary Rosen flap: A campaign gift to Mitt Romney
Hilary Rosen likely gave Mitt Romney a boost among women votes, one that Romney has needed. Will the Hilary Rosen lift last?
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Illinois primary: For Mitt Romney, delegates less important than 'winning'
The Illinois primary Tuesday is an opportunity for Mitt Romney to extend his delegate lead on Rick Santorum. But a big win in the popular vote might be more important.
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David Dreier to leave Congress: Is California losing its clout?
Some worry that David Dreier's retirement means reduced clout for California on Capitol Hill. But others say an anti-pork atmosphere in Washington means their concerns are overblown.
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Mitch Daniels State of the Union rebuttal makes GOP wonder: 'What if?'
Mitch Daniels was seen as a potential challenger to President Obama until he opted out of running last year. After his rebuttal of Obama's State of the Union address Tuesday, some GOP elites are openly longing for a Mitch Daniels candidacy.
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Can Mitt Romney recover from his South Carolina 'disaster'?
Newt Gingrich defied conventional political wisdom in coming back to win solidly in South Carolina. Can he do the same in Florida, and what must Mitt Romney do to recover from Saturday's drubbing?
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The verdict on Rick Perry: He just wasn't ready, analysts say
The excitement about Rick Perry, with his red-state bona fides and potential as a bridge-builder between the tea party and the GOP establishment, faded as his lack of preparation became evident.
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Hours before Iowa, Mitt Romney leads (barely), Rick Santorum surges
The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll shows just how volatile the Republican race for the presidential nomination is. Mitt Romney holds onto a slim lead, but Rick Santorum is surging toward second place and 40 percent of likely caucus-goers say they haven't made up their mind.
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Why Mitt Romney isn't balking at strong voter support for Ron Paul
Presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are in the top two slots in both Iowa and New Hampshire. But there’s little doubt about who would win in a Romney-Paul matchup.
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The Vote
Virginia primary: Was it so hard for Perry and Gingrich to get on the ballot?
Newt Gingrich and Rick Perry failed to collect enough signatures to get on the primary ballot in Virginia. Yes, the state has tough rules, but other candidates have managed to register.
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Gary Johnson to bolt GOP for Libertarians. Will his candidacy matter?
The planned move by Republican candidate Gary Johnson to seek the Libertarian nomination has been the topic of speculation for weeks. Would his third-party candidacy hurt the GOP?
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The Vote
New Ron Paul ad: Newt Gingrich guilty of 'serial hypocrisy' (VIDEO)
Ron Paul's YouTube video blasting Newt Gingrich for 'serial hypocrisy' is making the rounds of social media today, viewed more than 172,000 times by late this morning and generating buzz.
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Newt Gingrich: Does he have a path to the GOP nomination?
Newt Gingrich is nosing ahead of Mitt Romney for the GOP presidential nomination, according to polls. But it could be hard for him to translate that support into primary victories.
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Ron Paul's strength in Iowa shows it's too soon to write him off
Though he has a large and loyal following, Ron Paul's positions on key issues sets him apart from many Republicans. But he keeps moving steadily toward a position of strength in the early voting – especially in Iowa.
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Obama on bus tour: GOP jobs plan is 'let's have dirtier air, dirtier water'
President Obama is hitting the road in North Carolina and Virginia to push his jobs plan and slam Republicans for opposing it. He would also very much like to win those states again next fall.
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The campaign contribution scramble: Will Mitt Romney keep GOP lead?
Only a few days are left until third-quarter fundraising reports are due. Mitt Romney led the GOP field last quarter, but Rick Perry, Ron Paul, and others are sprinting hard for campaign contributions.
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Texas's record as death penalty capital: a help for Rick Perry?
Gov. Rick Perry, a top-tier GOP presidential candidate, has public opinion on his side on the death penalty. With another execution set for Thursday night in Texas, the danger may be if moderate voters perceive him to be cavalier about taking human life.
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Why are Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney campaigning early in Arizona?
Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann were both in Arizona Wednesday, wooing voters and endorsements. Arizona's primary isn't among the earliest, but the state may yet prove to be pivotal.
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Vox News
Are the media scared of Ron Paul?
News outlets routinely treat the Ron Paul candidacy as a hopeless case, if they mention him at all among GOP presidential hopefuls. He cites fear, but bewilderment might be a more accurate reason.
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Mitt Romney makes a fundraising splash. How much does that matter?
Mitt Romney lays down the gauntlet to Republican contenders with a one-day fundraising haul of more than $10 million. His rivals probably won't be able to keep pace, but they may not have to.
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Gas prices and five other liabilities for Obama in 2012
“Yes We Can” was so 2008. Now President Obama is the incumbent, with a record to defend. More than whom the Republicans nominate to run against him in 2012, how voters perceive Mr. Obama’s accomplishments and liabilities – two highly subjective categories, at times overlapping – will determine whether he gets four more years. Here are his top six liabilities, including still-high gas prices:
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Why 2012 presidential election will be harder for Obama
As the incumbent, Obama is burdened by three wars and the economy. He's taking nothing for granted for the 2012 presidential election, and is planning victory scenarios that don’t involve taking every state he won last time.
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Will Trump's political gamble pay off? Maybe it already has.
Whether Donald Trump's political moves turn out to be entertainment, a presidential candidacy, or a bit of both, the press attention offers him big payoffs – for now.
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The Vote
Would 'one term' pledge get Jerry Brown past Meg Whitman in California?
Political analysts are split over whether Jerry Brown would gain anything over Meg Whitman by promising to stay in office as California governor for just one term.
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Election 2010: How bad is it for Democrats?
As the November midterm election approaches, it seems to be dire straits for Democrats. Obama and other party leaders will have to energize their base in order to turn it around.
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The Vote
Florida governor's race: Why is GOP sending well-heeled Rick Scott $2 million?
Rick Scott is one of the richest candidates running this year. But the Republican Governors Association is sending him $2 million for his Florida governor's race, perhaps as a peace offering.








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