Topic: FiveThirtyEight.com
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Newt Gingrich has momentum as South Carolina goes to the polls
Polls show the South Carolina primary Saturday is now Newt Gingrich's to lose after Mitt Romney stumbled this week. But Romney still is favored to win Florida's primary and the nomination.
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Vox News Is Ron Paul getting too much media attention?
Appearances by Ron Paul over the past several days in New Hampshire have been jammed, to the point where one crucial stop degenerated into chaos.
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The Vote New Hampshire Republican debate: Why isn't Ron Paul attacking Mitt Romney?
The New Hampshire debate Saturday was marked by a conspicuous lack of attacks on front-runner Mitt Romney, even from flamethrower Ron Paul. That Republican debate strategy might not work for Romney's challengers long-term.
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What if Ron Paul wins Iowa – and New Hampshire, too?
Some say a Ron Paul victory in Iowa would damage the reputation of the caucuses as favoring fringe candidates. But that would change if the momentum helps Paul win in New Hampshire, too.
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Are GOP voters fooling themselves about Newt Gingrich's electability?
Polling indicates that GOP voters believe Newt Gingrich could beat President Obama. But surveys of the full electorate show less confidence in Mr. Gingrich's ability to defeat the president.
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Everybody has an opinion about the Occupy Wall Street movement
As the Occupy Wall Street movement begins its fourth week and spreads around the country, politicians and the public are weighing in. Will it have the staying power of the tea party movement?
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Did Ron Paul's presidential bid just get a big boost from Jon Stewart?
Libertarian Ron Paul narrowly lost the Iowa straw poll to Michele Bachmann, yet has been cut out of media postmortems on the GOP's top tier. Does he deserve more coverage? Jon Stewart thinks so.
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Has Rick Perry proved he's a better campaigner than Michele Bachmann?
At a Republican dinner in Iowa Sunday night, recently announced candidate Rick Perry appeared to outshine the straw poll winner, Michele Bachmann. His campaign team is receiving accolades too.
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How is the tea party doing in Senate races?
The GOP, fueled by the tea party movement, is all but certain to take control of the House. The Senate is another story, even though tea party-backed candidates are doing well in key races.
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Measure to legalize marijuana trails in California, if polls are right
California's Proposition 19, which would legalize marijuana use for adults, is trailing 51 percent to 39 percent, a poll released Friday shows. But some say polling on this issue may be problematic.
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Could Barney Frank lose his House seat to newcomer Sean Bielat?
The race has long been considered a slam-dunk for Barney Frank, but now it's getting some attention. That's partly because of his status as a powerful Democrat that Republicans love to hate.
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How mail-in ballots might confuse polls - and Election Day results
Increasing numbers of Americans can vote by mail or absentee ballots. This makes it harder for polls to gauge who the winner might be and means some close races might not be called for days.
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Tea party convergence: Big boost for Republicans in Election 2010
The tea party movement has evolved from a scattered insurgency into a sophisticated, organized effort. Its energy and enthusiasm about the midterm elections is helping Republicans.
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Harry Reid vs. Sharron Angle Senate bout gets tighter - and nastier
With Democratic Sen. Harry Reid and Republican Sharron Angle flaying each other with negative ads in Nevada, both have unfavorability ratings of more than 50 percent.
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Democrats rally behind their 'mom in tennis shoes,' Sen. Patty Murray
Sen. Patty Murray of Washington is facing a strong challenge from GOP candidate Dino Rossi. Top Democrats from Michelle Obama to former President Bill Clinton have vowed to help.
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Lisa Murkowski’s lonely Alaska fight against the tea party
Is Lisa Murkowski becoming her own kind of 'mama grizzly' in Alaska? Or is her decision to fight the tea party as a write-in US Senate candidate a lost cause?
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Will Blanche Lincoln, Arlen Specter survive Tuesday's primaries?
Anti-incumbent sentiment could be pivotal in Tuesday’s votes. Blanche Lincoln and Arlen Specter, both Democratic senators, are facing tough challenges from the left.
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Sarah Palin 'Going Rogue' to the White House? Polls say no.
With her book, 'Going Rogue,' released today, Sarah Palin is red meat to the far right. But Palin's poll numbers have slid significantly since she quit as Alaska governor.
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Political websites: Clocks that never stop.
The presidential election may be over, but those covering politics have plenty to write about.
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Obama trumps McCain in people power, but to what gain?
His Nevada field organization outmans his rival’s. McCain, though, is making use of the GOP’s high-tech, well-tuned machine.
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