Syria's war is going to end with a defeat for Bashar al-Assad or the uprising, but not because of events at the UN or Arab League.
Guest blogger Aly-Khan Satchu sees a larger proxy war in the current standoff between Sudan and South Sudan over dividing revenues from South Sudan's oil.
The Arab League's observer mission in Syria was suspended yesterday, and violence seems to be climbing once again as the United Nations attempts to take further action.
The fighting outside Damascus comes a day after the Arab League announced it was suspending its observer mission to Syria.
The Arab League wants to raise Syria's violent crisis at the United Nations – but it faces Russian reluctance.
Russia has remained a staunch supporter of Syria's President Assad, blocking UN efforts to impose an international arms embargo.