Who's really behind the Kabul attacks?
The Taliban claim responsibility for recent Kabul attacks, but the US pins blame specifically on the Pakistan-based Haqqani network in what some see as a bid to salvage Taliban peace talks.
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Those familiar with the peace process indicate that US officials view the Haqqani Network as irreconcilable given those Al Qaeda links, as opposed to elements within the Quetta Shura. This has upset Pakistan, whose top general once called Jalaluddin an “asset.”Skip to next paragraph
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While the Haqqani Network’s base lies close to Kabul, Mr. Roggio says the group cooperates with other Taliban leaders and may use foot soldiers from other factions like Hizb-e-Islami to carry out dramatic attacks in the Kabul region.
Until recently, that had also been the public stance of US officials who would pin such attacks on this same mixture, dubbing it the Kabul Attack Network.
“All of the sudden sometime this spring, the term Kabul Attack Network went away,” says Roggio. “They won’t use it in their press releases. Now they just blame things on the Haqqani Network.”
Negotiation for peace
Serious negotiations between the US and a representative from the Quetta Shura started this spring.
The US Embassy in Kabul said it could not comment on this before press time. It released a transcript of an interview with the ambassador in which he urged Pakistan to put pressure on Taliban groups.
“The information available to us, is that these attackers, like those who carried out the bombing in Wardak are part of the Haqqani Network, they enjoy safe haven in Northern Waziristan,” said Ambassador Crocker. “It’s in the long term interest of Pakistan … to bring these groups under control.”
He called the attacks, which left 27 dead, “minor league stuff" and said he hoped that the Taliban would decide to move away from these attacks, break with Al Qaeda, and accept the Afghan Constitution.
The Taliban themselves offer some reason to believe the view that the recent string of major attacks in Kabul involve more than one faction.
In an interview with the Monitor after the InterContinental attack, Mr. Mujahid claimed that the man in charge of the operation was the Kabul shadow governor, but he declined to name the main commander on the ground. The Quetta Shura appoints these shadow governors for each of the country’s provinces. NATO blamed the attack on the Haqqanis.
The lack of transparency about the Taliban means it’s not altogether clear who Mujahid speaks with and speaks for. He claims to speak for the entire movement, not just any one faction. Statements from the Taliban are often inflated and not reliable.
Other analysts including Ahmed Rashid, author of the book “Descent into Chaos,” speculate that the Haqqani Network may be launching these brazen attacks on Kabul in their own effort to shut down the US overtures to the likes of Quetta Shura. If such divisions are emerging between the factions, the Taliban claims of responsibility by Mujahid have helped keep those tensions hidden.