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For Beijing, Tibet threat is 'life and death'

Officials say exiled leaders seek independence to break up China.

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Zhang's tirade appeared designed to strip the Tibetan leader of moral authority in the eyes of his people. Among his goals, Zhang claimed, was "to overthrow the leadership of the Communist Party of China … and restore the cruel slavery system of imperialism."

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The Chinese authorities have chosen to heap all the blame for the recent troubles on the Dalai Lama's head, say some local and foreign analysts, because they have no other choice.

"This has a lot to do with China's long-term Tibetan policy, which they don't mention," says Mr. Liu. After more than 50 years of Chinese rule and economic aid, Tibetans are still restless enough to protest as they did last week.

The Tibetans have been eager to present themselves internationally as victims of last week's violence in Lhasa; exile groups have put the death toll at 99. But in challenging this version of events, the Chinese government has been reluctant to make too much use of video footage showing Tibetan youths beating Han Chinese to death and burning their shops, which would suggest that Chinese migrants were victims.

"That would be very sensitive," says Liu. "It would spread ethnic hatred." Beijing is anxious to present an image of ethnic harmony in Lhasa, despite widespread reports of Tibetan resentment at the rising tide of migrants from other parts of China.

Blaming the 'Dalai clique'

Indeed, the mainstream view in Beijing is that the Dalai Lama is responsible for provoking ethnic conflict. "Relations between the Han and [Muslim] Hui and Tibetans are very good," says Zhang Yun, a professor at the state-sponsored China Institute for Tibetan Studies.

"Maybe recently, some business disputes have broken out, but they are isolated incidents that the Dalai Lama seizes on ... to stir up hatred," he charges.

Nor do many Chinese Tibet experts accept claims by exile Tibetans, widely believed in the West, that last week's marches and riots illustrate broad dissatisfaction among Tibetans with Chinese rule. Among the rioters, says Professor Zhang, "were just a few local people who insist on Tibetan independence." The rest, he argues, were Dalai Lama loyalists who had returned from exile after studying abroad, and "others who don't want to work and got paid for being violent with the things they stole from stores."

"The Dalai clique maintained real-time contacts ... through varied channels with the rioters in Lhasa, and dictated instructions to his hard-core devotees and synchronized their moves," the official Xinhua news agency claimed in a commentary Tuesday.

Though officials from Prime Minister Wen downward have made much of the threat they see to China's territorial integrity from the Dalai Lama's activities, few scholars here share their fears.

"Tibet has been under Chinese control for seven centuries," says Zhang, presenting the Chinese account of Tibetan history. "Sometimes it was relatively tight, and sometimes relatively loose, but even when China was very poor and weak" in the early 20th century, "Tibet was never independent.

"Now our national power is very strong," Zhang adds. "So from both historical and practical perspectives, Tibetan independence is an impossibility."

China’s presence in Tibet

After China took control of Tibet, modern influences butted up against a deeply traditional culture. The Dalai Lama continued to support the age-old Tibetan way of life even as roads, hospitals, and electricity brought the capital into a new era. But in rural areas, Tibetans were subjected to land reform and the collectivization that had engulfed the rest of China.

Oct. 1, 1949: Chinese revolution creates People’s Republic of China with Mao Zedong as chairman.

1950-1951: Armies invade Tibet and bring it under military and political control. China claims historic suzerainty. The 14th and current Dalai Lama is allowed to continue to rule the country, but in conjunction with Chinese officials.

September 1954: Chairman Mao meets with Dalai Lama.

March 1959: Tibetans attempt to overthrow the Chinese presence in Lhasa, resulting in the death of thousands of Tibetans. The Dalai Lama and some 80,000 fellow Tibetans fled to Northern India, eventually establishing a government-in-exile.

Sept. 1, 1965: Tibet created as the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR). The TAR is ruled by a Tibetan who is in charge of enforcing laws, establishing local policies, administering local financial and economic development, and overseeing tourism, health, and education. The true power of the TAR remains in the hands of the local Communist Party, which has never been led by a Tibetan.

1966: Cultural Revolution begins. As part of a policy to secularize Tibet and loose the hold of the Buddhist religion, Chinese Red Guards close monasteries, smash Buddhist statues, and force nuns and monks to live secular lives.

1979: Dalai Lama’s brother, Gyalo Thondup, accepts invitation from Chinese paramount leader Deng Xiaoping to visit. Beginning of cordial relations.

January 1989: Riots erupt in Lhasa after the death of Panchen Lama, Tibetan Buddhism’s second-highest leader after the Dalai Lama. Martial law is declared in March.

Relations between Tibetans and their Chinese rulers remain tense, exacerbated by a steady influx of Han Chinese immigrants, conflicts over religious succession, and the continued repression of traditional Tibetan culture.

October 1989: Dalai Lama awarded Nobel Peace Prize for shunning violence in seeking liberation from China.

May 1990: Martial Law lifted. Government-in-exile disbanded in hopes of democratic elections in Lhasa.

August 1993: Dalai Lama states publicly that he is not seeking independence, but political autonomy, for Tibet. However, in 1994, Dalai Lama suspends dialogue with China, citing lack of progress.

May 1995: Dalai Lama discovers reincarnation of the late 10th Panchen Lama and declares 6-year-old Gedhun Choekyi Nyima as the 11th Panchen Lama. The Chinese authorities reject the Dalai Lama’s discovery and install Gyaincain Norbu instead. The fate of the ‘Dalai’s Panchen’ Nyima is uncertain.

June 1996: Following elections, Dalai Lama swears in new Tibetan government-in-exile.

1999: China and Dalai Lama resume discussions; China says Dalai Lama is welcome to return to Tibet as long as he abandons his campaign for Tibetan independence and officially recognizes Tibet as an inseparable part of China.

July 2006: China opens the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, the world’s highest railroad. Critics outside Tibet charge the railway with threatening the high-altitude environment and spurring an influx of Han Chinese.

March 2008: Up to 80 people are killed in anti-China riots in Lhasa, the government-in-exile says. But Tibet’s top government official puts the death toll at 13 and says they were Han Chinese civilians brutally killed by Tibetan mobs. Unrest spreads to ethnic Tibetan communities in nearby Chinese provinces. International protests condemn the violence, which come five months before Beijing is to host the Olympic Games.

Sources: Political Handbook of the World, Oxford Companion to Politics of the World, Modern China: A Guide to a Century of Change, news reports

Compiled by John Aubrey and Peter Smith

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