Why Republicans shouldn't take a Pennsylvania Senate win for granted
Polls suggested that Republican Senate candidate Pat Toomey had a firm grip on his race with Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania. But new polls point to hope for Democrats here and elsewhere.
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Two new polls show that in Pennsylvania, Democratic Senate candidate Joe Sestak is pulling even with Republican Pat Toomey in a race that most observers had largely written off as a sure Republican win.
A poll that came out yesterday from Public Policy Polling (PPP) has Mr. Sestak up by 1 point – though some polling experts expressed caution about reading too much into it, and noted that PPP has a history of giving Democrats an advantage.
Wednesday night, Sestak has an opportunity to make up more ground in a debate with Toomey.
So, what’s going on?
Part of it is demographics. Pennsylvania leans Democratic, and Democrats have a sizeable registration advantage.
And Sestak seems to be playing his cards well in the final stages, running both hard-hitting ads that try to highlight Toomey’s most conservative positions and paint him as a far-right candidate, as well as more positive ads showcasing Sestak’s past as a Navy admiral.
Despite the movement in Sestak’s favor, he still faces an uphill battle on Nov. 2. For one thing, polls continue to show a marked difference among enthusiasm between Democratic and Republican voters, with Republicans far more energized to get to the ballot box.
And while Sestak goes into the final month with a slight cash advantage, outside conservative groups have been heavily outspending liberal ones in the state – and seem likely to focus even more attention on Pennsylvania now that it’s clear Toomey’s victory isn’t a guarantee.