Tea party: Libertarian revolt or religious right in disguise?

"Social issues are coming up because they're easier to pass," says Sean Theriault, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin. "And there are huge [Republican] margins in the Texas House, so if there was ever a time to pass this kind of legislation, it's now."

Clearly, the tea party's small-government mantra resonates with conservatives – including those who do not share libertarian views on social issues. A recent study by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life showed more than 40 percent of tea party supporters identify as Christian conservative, and nearly 60 percent said abortion should be illegal.

But in Texas, the tea party is indistinguishable from the religious right, in many respects. During last November's race for speaker of the state House, tea party groups targeted incumbent Speaker Joe Straus, a Jewish Republican, saying they wanted to replace him with what one legislator called a "true Christian" leader.

This focus on social issues is alienating the tea party's libertarian supporters, some of whom predicted the religious right would try to co-opt the movement. "I want to build on our success, not ruin the coalition by bringing 'God's will' into it," Maine Tea Party Patriots' coordinator Andrew Ian Dodge, a leading libertarian voice, told Newsweek last year.

It is a concern for the tea party. According to a recent Monitor/TIPP poll, 26 percent of respondents said their opinions of the tea party had worsened since November. Some 11 percent said their opinions had improved, and 57 percent reported no change.

If the movement "is going to last, there are compromises that will have to be worked out between the libertarians and the Christian conservatives," says John Green, director of the Bliss Institute for Applied Politics at the University of Akron in Ohio. "That's a big stumbling block."

Another obstacle is a lack of organization. Last year, with a floundering economy and a Democratic majority in Congress, fiscal conservatism was a rallying point. "In 2010, different people from different backgrounds came together and the enthusiasm swept it all up," says Professor Green. "It will be interesting to see where the diversity ends up this time."

Already, there are signs of a libertarian backlash. In early April, tea party activists in Austin protested for further cuts to the Texas House's already austere budget bill.

But the battle for the Republican presidential nomination could be the tipping point – whether tea party support goes to a fiscal stalwart like Mitt Romney or to the likes of Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) of Minnesota, who said last month that "social conservatism is fiscal conservatism."

"It's clear that there's more consensus on fiscal issues within the movement," says Professor Theriault. "So the more the movement focuses on social ones, the less power it will have."

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