Illinois primary: how the Scott Brown win has changed strategies

“Nothing energizes an army more than a chance of success, and the Illinois Republican army has been quite demoralized over the last decade,” Representative Kirk says. “When they saw the Scott Brown victory, where no one expected success, it utterly energized some Republicans, independents, and even some Democrats to help break the one-party rule in Illinois.”

If he wins Tuesday, Kirk says he will make corruption “the central focus” of his campaign. “Things are worse in Illinois than in Massachusetts because underneath every issue in Illinois is corruption,” he says.

But Republicans aren’t the only ones framing the Brown narrative in their favor. Democrats say it’s galvanized their ranks and provided motivation to campaign harder.

“It’s having a major effect.... No one is deluded what a strong candidate Mark Kirk can potentially be,” says Thom Karmik, communications director for Democratic candidate David Hoffman. Since Brown’s win, the Hoffman campaign saw “a serious uptick in fundraising,” and its volunteer base increased from 700 to more than 1,000 people, Mr. Karmik says.

Hoffman, a former Chicago inspector general and federal prosecutor, is emphasizing his record of fighting corruption. A Hoffman victory, says Karmik, would be a win not just for his party but also for “restoring some integrity into politics in Illinois.”

In polls, state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias has led among the Democratic candidates. But complications have loomed: Despite his relatively short political career – he’s been treasurer for just three years – his opponents portray him as an establishment candidate whose family operates a Chicago bank that once made loans to convicted influence peddler Antoin "Tony" Rezko.

Kati Phillips, spokeswoman for the Giannoulias campaign, brushes the portrayal off, saying, “Voters seem to know the difference between a community banker and a Wall Street corporate banker.”

The Brown victory, she argues, will work in Mr. Giannoulias’s favor. “The way we’re looking at it is: Voters aren’t angry at a political party, voters are angry at Washington. They’re angry at gridlock and the leaders there who don’t listen to them and ignore them much of the time. That’s something we think we can address,” Ms. Phillips says.

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