Lawmakers' tough choice: curb the deficit or create new jobs?
President Obama has made a priority of tackling the US unemployment rate – now about 10 percent. But a new jobs program would add more to the soaring federal deficit.
President Obama invited more than 100 guests to his recent summit on job creation – from Nobel Prize economists to clean-energy entrepreneurs. But one “guest” showed up uninvited, in a manner of speaking: the Ghost of Deficits Future.Skip to next paragraph
For years, elected officials have been able to support spending that exceeds tax revenue by a large amount. Many have done so even as they warned that corrective action will eventually be needed. Others have adopted the slogan “deficits don’t matter,” arguing that the country can either grow its way out of debt or keep on borrowing.
In the past year, though, America’s fiscal compass has shifted toward discipline to a degree not seen since the 1990s. Now, even as Washington officials look to ease a 10 percent jobless rate, concern is rising – among lawmakers, the public, and some economists – that budgetary constraints are tightening and may limit the options.
Here are some signs of the times:
•Mr. Obama and fellow Democrats are rolling out a jobs proposal with careful framing on how to pay for it. Some $200 billion is available, they say, because the financial rescues of the Troubled Asset Relief Program are proving less expensive than forecast. Republicans counter that the TARP and any stimulus programs are being paid for by borrowing. It’s a partisan squabble, but neither side is saying deficits don’t matter.
•Debate over healthcare reform has pivoted around cost questions, with legislation moving toward passage only as it is designated “deficit neutral,” at least for the first 10 years of the reforms.
•The national debt is $12.1 trillion, and Congress must vote soon to increase a self-imposed debt ceiling or the Treasury won’t be able to issue new debt.
A bipartisan group of lawmakers says the traditional budget process is keeping the nation on an unsustainable path, and they are calling for a new approach – based on a commission – to achieving discipline. They may attach the proposal to the debt-ceiling legislation.
“What used to be a problem that would take 30 years to mature is now upon us in the next decade,” Douglas Holtz-Eakin, an economist who advised GOP presidential candidate John McCain, said at a Senate hearing last month. “There is less time to waste.”
THE TAKEAWAY: OBAMA'S JOB PLAN
Help for businesses
• Tax breaks extended or expanded to spur investment
• More loan guarantees by the Small Business Administration
• New tax credit for firms that hire
Direct job creation: perhaps $50 billion for US-funded road, airport, water projects
A push for green energy jobs
• Incentives for renewable-energy firms to create jobs
• Rebates for homeowners who retrofit for energy efficiency
More aid to state and local government