Obama, Romney surrogates insist their guy will win. Both can't be right.

On this last Sunday before 2012’s contentious presidential election, campaign surrogates had their game faces on, bluffing and butting heads rhetorically about what Election Day portends.

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Last-minute polls show a race that could hardly be closer.

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A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll of likely voters published Sunday finds Obama leading Romney by a nose – 48 percent to 47 percent.

Another new poll – Politico/George Washington University’s battleground tracking poll of 1,000 likely voters – shows the two tied at 48 percent.

The Real Clear Politics national polling average has Obama ahead by a tiny fraction: 2/10ths of 1 percent.

As Politico’s James Hohmann points out, “History shows that most of the 3 percent of remaining undecided voters probably won’t go to the polls on Tuesday, so the winner will be determined by which candidate can turn out more of their supporters in the 10 or so competitive states.”

That’s exactly the aim of the two candidates as they make their last dash toward Election Day.

Obama began his Sunday in New Hampshire before heading to Florida, Ohio, and Colorado. Romney’s schedule had him in Iowa before hitting Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.

Hurricane Sandy – this year’s “October Surprise” – appears to have helped Obama as he divides his time between campaigning, meeting with federal emergency management officials, and staying in very close touch with state and local officials in states hit hardest by the superstorm.

In the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, nearly 70 percent approved of how he’s handled the storm – something former Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour acknowledged Sunday.

"The hurricane is what broke Romney's momentum,” he said on CNN's "State of the Union." “I don't think there is any question about it.”

Some Republicans were complaining that Sandy had knocked New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie from his Romney campaign role as chief attack dog, choosing instead to ignore the race while lauding Obama’s handling of the storm and its aftermath.

Speaking after former President Bill Clinton in Bristow, Va., Saturday night, Obama said that at this point in the campaign, he was largely "a prop" and the race was in the voters' hands.

"The power is not with us anymore," he told the estimated crowd of 24,000 gathered on a cold night. "It's all up to you."

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