Pennsylvania's state capital considers filing for bankruptcy
Harrisburg, Pa., is debating whether to declare Chapter 9 bankruptcy. As cities struggle to balance their budgets, more may consider the option.
Over the next few weeks, many municipalities and states will be trying to hash out their budgets. It is clear that this is not going to be an easy task.Skip to next paragraph
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Already, the controller of Harrisburg, Pa., the state capital perched on the Susquehanna River, is talking about declaring Chapter 9 bankruptcy, which gives communities protection from creditors while trying to work out a debt payment plan. If the city goes ahead, it would be the first time since at least World War II that a state capital declared bankruptcy.
But for the most part, municipalities are likely to try to avoid this route. It involves lawsuits, the loss of access to the bond markets to fund their capital projects, and allowing a bankruptcy judge to make decisions normally the province of elected officials. Also, just the mention of the word “bankruptcy” by a public official sets off alarm bells for the bond-rating services.
Mr. Raphael does not expect defaults on bonds to be widespread, but he adds, “There will be situations of severely distressed communities.”
Most cities and states obtain their revenue from either property taxes or income taxes. During good times, there is a lag in the downturn in revenues. But during bad times, it works the other way.
For example, unemployment in some states is as high as 14 percent. This reduces state income tax collections. At the same time, an unemployed consumer is not spending as much money, reducing sales tax receipts.
And the federal funds from the stimulus package, which were helpful to states in balancing last year's budgets, will be phasing out as well. In New York, Mayor Michael Bloomberg complains regularly about the cut in state funds.
In addition, many states will continue to see income tax revenue fall this spring, as investors continue to write down losses in the stock market. Analysts expect the market’s downturn to hang over state finances for some time, because investors can carry the capital gains losses forward for years.
And, many communities are still experiencing a downturn in property values. This either reduces revenues after an assessment or results in fewer home sales, which may effect transfer taxes.