Paula Patton's 'Baggage Claim,' 'Ender's Game' – what will succeed at the box office this fall?
Paula Patton's film 'Baggage Claim,' the next 'Hunger Games' movie, and '47 Ronin' will all be released this fall. Will Paula Patton's movie, the new 'Hobbit' movie, and others win at the box office?
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Due to overcrowding, studios have been known to punt releases into the new year: Last year, Paramount moved "World War Z" out of the year-end traffic jam and Warner Bros. moved "The Great Gatsby." Both movies fared well this past summer.Skip to next paragraph
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This year? There's little chance "American Hustle," "The Secret Life of Walter Mitty," "Saving Mr. Banks," "Foxcatcher," "Anchorman 2" or the next "Hobbit" are going anywhere. The first four are all seen as major awards contenders while the latter two are certain hits.
Could "Grudge Match" or "47 Ronin" be the ones to go this year?
5. Speaking of which: Will "47 Ronin" be the disaster everyone expects? Universal has twice before pushed the release of this movie, one of the most troubled productions in recent memory. The film stars Keanu Reeves and an otherwise all-Japanese cast in a reimagining of a legendary Japanese samurai tale.
As TheWrap reported last year, Universal took control of the editing of the film from first-time director Carl Rinsch. The studio did not see eye-to-eye with Rinsch, a successful commercials directors, and closely monitored reshoots as well.
Meanwhile, the budget swelled to at least $175 million – and likely much more.
Several movies this year have shed their "troubled project" labels to succeed, including "World War Z" and "G.I. Joe: Retaliation." Will "47 Ronin" be one, or will we be watching it next year after another delay?
6. Can Tom Hanks get his groove back? Tom Hanks had a great run from "A League of Their Own" in 1992 through "Catch Me if You Can" 20 years later.
He made 12 films over that stretch, and also voiced Woody in a pair of "Toy Story" movies. With the exception of "That Thing You Do!" and "Road to Perdition" – a sadly forgotten film – every single one of his movies was a big hit at the box office, with "Forrest Gump," the most successful of them all.
Since "Catch Me if You Can," his output has been more mixed: His biggest hits have either been animated – "Toy Story 3" – or based on a book series that everyone and their mother read – "The Da Vinci Code," "Angels & Demons." Hanks' big movie last fall, "Cloud Atlas," opened with a thud.
This fall, Hanks returns to theaters as the star of "Captain Phillips," a film based on the story of a ship captain held hostage by Somali pirates. The movie has all the pedigree of an Oscar contender and crowd favorite, from an acclaimed director (Paul Greengrass) to an exceptional producing team (including Scott Rudin and Michael De Luca) to Hanks himself.
He also stars in "Saving Mr. Banks," the story of the struggle to get "Mary Poppins" made – the kind of inside Hollywood story the Academy loves.
7. Will horror rule for another quarter? Two of the summer's most profitable films, "The Purge" and "The Conjuring," cost a collective $22 million to produce and grossed more than $200 million combined at the box office.
While Paramount delayed the release of "Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones" to next year, there is no shortage of horror movies this fall and winter to try and replicate that success.
Two candidates: James Wan, who directed "The Conjuring," will unleash his sequel to "Insidious" in September while MGM and Screen Gems will offer a remake of the horror classic "Carrie" in October.
The door is open in September and October for a horror surprise.