Skip to: Content
Skip to: Site Navigation
Skip to: Search


Stefan Karlsson

Estonia rising: The little country that could

Responding to criticisms of one of the European Union's newest and poorest members, Karlsson argues that even adjusting for fortuitous circumstances along its borders, Estonia's performance the last two years makes it an austerity success story.

By Guest blogger / June 5, 2012

In this file photo taken in December 2010, people pass by an anti-euro currency poster in Tallinn, Estonia. Estonia,did not shirk from bailing out much richer Portugal and Ireland.

Timur Nisametdinov/NIPA/AP/File

Enlarge

Jason Rave argues that Estonia isn't an example of successful austerity since supposedly growth has been flat since late 2010 and since GDP is still well below the pre-crisis level.

Skip to next paragraph

Stefan is an economist currently working in Sweden.

Recent posts

But regarding the first point we should first of all notice that as Rave himself writes, the budget was balanced in early 2010, meaning that the extremely high 2010 growth numbers of 8-9% provide the best test of the effects of austerity policies. While growth did slow down in 2011 and the first quarter of 2012 from those extraordinarily high levels, it was still 4% in Q1 2012, the third highest in the EU after Latvia and Lithuania.
While Rave is correct to note that the absolute level of GDP is still significantly below its pre-crisis peak levels, that isn't relevant for evaluating policies implemented after the initial slump.
A somewhat better argument for dismissing Estonia as an austerity success story is that they were in part lucky. Strong recoveries in Sweden and to a lesser extent also Finland helped boost Estonia's exports to those countries. Yet even if you adjust for that, Estonia's performance the last two years have been strong.

The Christian Science Monitor has assembled a diverse group of the best economy-related bloggers out there. Our guest bloggers are not employed or directed by the Monitor and the views expressed are the bloggers' own, as is responsibility for the content of their blogs. To contact us about a blogger, click here. This post originally ran on stefanmikarlsson.blogspot.com.

  • Weekly review of global news and ideas
  • Balanced, insightful and trustworthy
  • Subscribe in print or digital

Special Offer

 

Doing Good

 

What happens when ordinary people decide to pay it forward? Extraordinary change...

Danny Bent poses at the starting line of the Boston Marathon in Hopkinton, Mass.

After the Boston Marathon bombings, Danny Bent took on a cross-country challenge

The athlete-adventurer co-founded a relay run called One Run for Boston that started in Los Angeles and ended at the marathon finish line to raise funds for victims.

 
 
Become a fan! Follow us! Google+ YouTube See our feeds!