Chinese yuan will catch up to the dollar faster than we thought
China's economy is growing faster than the numbers suggest. It could overtake the United States as the world's biggest economy even more quickly than previously thought.
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As I've noted before, one should be careful in using aggregate price indexes for estimating competitiveness because they are composed of different goods and services in different countries.
One implication that is certain however is the fact that the Chinese GDP deflator grows so fast means that the relative size of China's economy is growing even faster than the published real GDP numbers suggests. This means that China's economy could overtake the United States as the world's biggest economy even faster than previously thought. I previously estimated that it would happen in 2024, but considering this factor, it seems that it will probably happen even sooner.
The Christian Science Monitor has assembled a diverse group of the best economy-related bloggers out there. Our guest bloggers are not employed or directed by the Monitor and the views expressed are the bloggers' own, as is responsibility for the content of their blogs. To contact us about a blogger, click here. This post originally ran on stefanmikarlsson.blogspot.com.