Four big banks need more capital to weather recession, US finds
'Stress tests' reveal that banks need to raise more than $65 billion to be able to keep lending if the recession drags on.
The US government is asking America’s largest banks to raise more than $65 billion in fresh capital, in a move designed to build a foundation for economic recovery.Skip to next paragraph
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That’s the upshot of a two-month “stress test” process assessing the health of 19 leading financial firms, according to preliminary news reports. Full results will be officially announced Thursday at 5 p.m.
For the first time since financial turmoil erupted more than a year ago, regulators are publicly drawing lines of division between between banks that are positioned to weather the recession and those that may require more resources. Having enough capital, as a base for future loans and for covering potential losses, is the essential measure of banks’ health.
Bank of America needs to raise $34 billion
On that measure, many came up short, according to The Wall Street Journal and other news reports Thursday:
• Bank of America will need to raise about $34 billion more.
• Wells Fargo needs another $13 billion.
• Citigroup needs $5 billion more.
Some smaller banks will also need more capital. One of the largest, JPMorgan Chase, is among a handful of big banks that regulators say are well-capitalized.
About half of bank loans made in the United States flow from the 19 firms that underwent the stress tests, so the government’s goal is to make sure those prominent banks remain able to provide credit for consumers and businesses at a fragile time.
“The exercise has been comprehensive, rigorous, forward-looking,” Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said in a speech Thursday morning. The Fed and other regulators conducting the tests want the largest banks to “remain well-capitalized and actively lending, even should macroeconomic conditions prove worse than currently anticipated,” he said.
Credit markets vital to recovery
Returning banks to health will be an important indicator of whether the US economy recovers in a buoyant way or remains mired in a slump, economists say. Their widely shared view is that other policies, such as low interest rates or the Obama administration’s large stimulus program for the economy, won’t revive economic growth if credit markets aren’t functioning normally.
Each bank that needs to raise more capital can do so in a variety of ways, within a six-month deadline. It can do a public-stock offering, sell some portions of its business to raise money, or take an infusion of public funds from the Treasury’s Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Part of the solution, and perhaps the bulk of it, may be for a bank to convert so-called preferred stock shares – a low-level form of existing capital that blurs the line between debt and equity – into common stock. Common equity is considered by regulators and investors to be the strongest form of capital. Some preferred-share conversion may involve funds that came from the TARP.
Many of these moves, by increasing the total amount of common stock, will dilute the value of the common shares that investors currently own in the banks.
Bank stocks on the rise