Back in town: Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif received supporters Sunday at Lahore’s airport. A leadership void in the Pakistani opposition could make Mr. Sharif an influential political force in the coming weeks.
Back in town: Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif received supporters Sunday at Lahore’s airport. A leadership void in the Pakistani opposition could make Mr. Sharif an influential political force in the coming weeks.
Adrees Latif/Reuters
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  • Back in town: Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif received supporters Sunday at Lahore’s airport. A leadership void in the Pakistani opposition could make Mr. Sharif an influential political force in the coming weeks.
  • Back again: A poster of Nawaz Sharif (r.) and his brother, Shahbaz, decorated a Lahore, Pakistan, street on Sunday. Thousands of PML-N party workers were arrested before his arrival.
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Pakistan: a new Sharif in town

The former prime minister's return on Sunday could fill the opposition's leadership void.

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Reporter Shahan Mufti describes the relationship between Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf and former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif.

Sharif's close Islamist connections

Sharif's strong ties to Islamist political parties have attracted suspicion from some Western governments that have traditionally counted Musharraf as an ally in the US-led war on terrorism.

Sharif first rose to prominence when he was appointed as chief minister of Punjab in 1985 under the rule of General Zia-ul-Haq, the military ruler who initiated the first wave of political Islam in the country. Sharif became prime minister for the first time in 1990, winning the election in an alliance that included Jamat-e-Islami, the largest Islamist party in the country.

Ever since, Sharif's on-and-off relationship with Islamist parties appeared to be a convenient formula to keep archrival Ms. Bhutto at bay. Working with these parties, Sharif also enacted legislation in both his terms as prime minister to introduce sharia, or Islamic law, to Pakistan's political and economic systems.

"He has the option to lead the resistance in the streets," which has gone without any solid leadership so far, says Mr. Rais.

"My hunch is he'd like to gamble on these new forces of political change rather than rely on the establishment," he says.

Others seem to believe that Sharif is returning under the auspices of a political deal, much like Ms. Bhutto did last month, and that he will engage in negotiations with Musharraf upon his return. "The Saudis have probably advised him to join the election process," says Mr. Abbasi, because much like the Americans, "they are concerned with maintaining stability in Pakistan," he says.

But the All Parties Democratic Movement, an alliance of opposition parties of which Sharif will probably find himself at the helm, announced yesterday that it would boycott elections unless the country was restored to the political arrangement that existed prior to Nov. 3, when Musharraf declared a state of emergency. The alliance has demanded the reinstatement of the removed judiciary members in the next four days – a request analysts say Musharraf will likely deny.

Bhutto's Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), on the other hand, has directed its members to file nomination papers for the election before the deadline on Monday. But Bhutto made clear that the PPP's participation was under protest. She expressed her hope that once Sharif returned, it would be possible to convene a united opposition.

But if Bhutto and Sharif boycott the elections, it will mean yet another political deadlock. Some say the vote could still be held, "but the legitimacy of such an election would be in doubt," said Anwar Syed, a professor at the Lahore School of Economics, in a recent column. "What will happen then? The people at large may repudiate the election and come out protesting. In other words the current political crisis may continue."

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