A leaner, looser 'Star Wars' system

President Bush's missile-shield plans are stoking cold-war tensions, as Putin threatens to re-aim Russian weapons at Europe.

from the June 5, 2007 edition

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Congressional doubts

But other lawmakers remain skeptical, particularly in light of Russia's continued objections. The House Appropriations Conmmitee, for example, struck from its version of the defense-funding bill money for the placement of interceptor missiles in Poland. The Senate Armed Services Committee has made a similar cut.

"Congress is correct to question whether US resources are best spent on a questionable ballistic missile defense program, or better spent on securing our nation‚s borders, ports and railways against another 9/11-type attack," said Rep. Robert Wexler (D) of Florida, at a May 3 missile defense hearing.

It's true that the Pentagon has made strides in missile defense development, say some critics of the system. But they claim those advances are limited.

Flight tests of the interceptor have become increasingly complex, for example, in regards to communications between radars, command-and-control personnel, and missile emplacements, says Philip Coyle, who was director of Pentagon Operational Test and Evaluation during the Clinton administration.

But the tests themselves are actually simpler than they used to be, according to Coyle. Few decoys or countermeasures are used to try and fool the system's sensors, for example. That makes it easier for the hit-to-kill interceptor missile to hone in on it target.

"It's sort of like having a basketball team that practices more and more complex plays – but doesn't have anybody who can shoot real well," says Coyle, who is now a senior adviser to the Center for Defense Information (CDI).

The Pentagon says that the system has to begin somewhere, and that the addition of further defensive layers, such as quickly deployable Aegis Navy cruisers equipped with upgraded missiles, will gradually increase capabilities.

In any case, the Pentagon is no longer trying to develop a missile defense capable of blunting a superpower's launch of nuclear warheads, say US officials.

Cold war talk

With its plans for Europe, the US is just trying to have a defense in place by the time Iran develops long-range missiles, around 2015, according to US intelligence estimates.

President Putin's continued vehemence about the system appears to indicate that Russia believes the defense is also aimed at them. Theoretically, a capable defense could provide enough of a shield against Russia's now-diminished nuclear forces so that the US develops a first-strike nuclear capability.

Russia may also see US missile defense plans in geopolitical terms. By placing elements of the system in former Soviet satellite nations of Eastern Europe, the US would be pushing its forces right up to Russia's doorstep.

"It may be the principle of the thing that bothers them more than anything," says Mr. Coyle.

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