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Arctic melt-off: ahead of schedule

A new analysis shows that well before the century's end, it could be ice-free for part of the year.

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Renewable energy, nuclear power, biofuels, and reforestation are some of the solutions to cutting greenhouse-gas emissions that the document is likely to contain , reported the Agence France-Presse (AFP) news service. Said Peter Lukey, a delegate from South Africa:

"It's very difficult at these negotiations to try to find that level of compromise and to try to find sustainable solutions that are equitable. This is a highly politicized event ... it's highly frustrating."

As developing countries grow they must look for new and cheap fuel sources, which then add to the greenhouse-gas emissions that must be reduced if warming is to be curbed. Lalith Chandrapala, a delegate from Sri Lanka, told AFP:

"Ten years ago [our energy] was mostly hydroelectricity. Now, with the increase in power consumption ... we are going into coal. The problem is for a country like Sri Lanka, because our economy is not that strong, we can't afford anything else."

Based on its own look at an early draft, Britain's Sunday newspaper The Observer suggests that the IPCC findings would rile environmental groups if they include solutions such as greater use of nuclear power. It quoted Tony Juniper, executive director of the advocacy group Friends of the Earth, as saying:

"Simply replacing one set of technologies with another set of technologies won't work, especially when there are such big downsides with some of them. Structural change to the economy, behavior change, and culture change – those have to be elements in a world of decarbonization."

No matter how the IPCC stew is cooked, the final dish will be served up as a recipe for how governments should work together. But back in Washington, at an April 30 press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, President Bush indicated that the United States, which did not sign the Kyoto Protocol, was more likely to continue to go it alone. MarketWatch quoted the president as saying:

"Each country needs to recognize that we must reduce our greenhouse gases and deal obviously with their own internal politics to come up with an effective strategy that hopefully when added together ... leads to a real reduction."

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