Gen. Petraeus: Iraq strategy needs more time

As a war-weary Senate passed a timetable Thursday, the US commander in Iraq proposed his own, more patient, schedule.

from the April 27, 2007 edition

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Petraeus, roundly thought to be the man who can do the job in Iraq if anyone can, arrived in February. He said he sees a security situation that is in many ways harder to understand than others he has experienced in places like Haiti or the Balkans.

But the US plan of putting more boots on the ground has shown that it can have an impact on violence. Petraeus noted that there has been a drop in sectarian violence between Sunnis and Shiites, largely due to the increase in both US and Iraqi troop presence. A significant withdrawal of forces by fall or next year, in which US forces essentially retreat to centralized bases, could results in an increase in such violence, said Petraeus.

"My sense is that there would be a resumption of sectarian violence were the presence of our forces and Iraqi forces to be reduced and not to do what they are doing right now," Petraeus said.

Petraeus said that he intends to conduct an assessment of the surge in September, in conjunction with US Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker. They will judge Iraq's level of security, its economy, and progress on rule of law and politics. Marine Gen. Peter Pace, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, will review the plan for this assessment in coming weeks.

Although Petraeus acknowledged the rise in some forms of violence, he noted that there have been some pockets of progress. Life in Baghdad includes robust marketplaces, people walking on the street, soccer games, and other forms of daily activity that most Americans may not appreciate because the number of sensational attacks, including an increasing number of suicide- and car-bombings, mask those routines. But the rise in suicide- and car-bombings – many carried out by foreign fighters – indeed makes the security situation an enormous challenge.

"I am not trying in any way, shape, or form to indicate that this is a satisfactory situation whatsoever," he said.

"I am well aware that the sense of gradual progress and achievement we feel on the ground in many areas in Iraq is often eclipsed with the sensational attacks that overshadow our daily progress," he said.

Frederick Kagan, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, who, along with others, proposed a plan for success in Iraq that was largely adopted by the administration in January, said at an event Wednesday that he thinks the war can still be won.

"I can't promise you that we will win, but I can promise you that we haven't lost yet," he said. "We can win."

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