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Bid builds to delay Iraq vote

Violence and a lack of preparedness spur calls to postpone the Jan. 30 election.



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By Annia Ciezadlo, Correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor / November 29, 2004

SULAYMANIYAH, IRAQ

The politically explosive issue of whether to delay elections is creating deep rifts in Iraq's already fractured political landscape, with Shiite religious authorities determined to hold them on time and a growing body of mainly Sunni leaders calling for the Jan. 30 balloting to be put off for up to six months.

Both sides dug in over the weekend as the country's prime minister and the seven-member elections commission insisted that elections will go forward as planned.

Iraq's interim government and its Independent Electoral Commission are stuck in the middle, faced with two potentially divisive outcomes: Delaying elections would anger the country's Shiite majority and risk losing already shaky public confidence in the interim government. But if elections go ahead as scheduled, and if voter turnout is low, the elections could be widely viewed as illegitimate.

"The disadvantage for them is that they will not have the legitimacy they are looking for. And that will give the opposition - resistance or nonresistance - the right to doubt these elections," said Saad Jawad, a professor of political science at Baghdad University.

Over the past several months, Sunni clerics loosely aligned with Iraq's militant insurgency have called on Sunnis to boycott the elections. On Friday, Sunni political parties upped the ante by issuing a specific proposal, signed by 17 Arab and Kurdish parties, for a six-month extension. The statement, drawn up at the house of respected Sunni politician Adnan Pachachi, alluded to both safety and organization as reasons for the delay.

Shiite clergy flatly rejected the call for delays. "These parties are acting like a student who wants to delay the exam as it gets closer to exam time," said Sheikh Fatih Kashif-al-Ghitta, a Shiite cleric from a prominent Najaf political family, speaking on the Al Jazeera Arabic satellite channel.

Others hinted that a delay might force Shiite religious authorities, who have so far avoided open conflict, to switch tactics. "If the elections are not held on time, we will be forced to reevaluate our policies," said Abdulaziz al-Hakim, leader of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq,a powerful Shiite political party. "We will look for other avenues."

On Saturday, Prime Minister Iyad Allawi rebuffed the request for a delay, pointing out that Jan. 30 is the deadline specified under the country's transitional law and United Nations Security Council resolutions. "The Prime Minister understands the concern of these groups, but is equally aware of the determination of others to see elections held on time," said government spokesman Thaer Naqib.

Mr. Allawi promised to reach out to moderate Sunni parties, but denied that a delay would buy time to talk them out of the boycott. "He does not believe that a delay will necessarily make such broad participation any easier to achieve," said Mr. Naqib.

That same day, the electoral commission flatly rejected the call to delay. "This date is settled, and no changes to it are being considered," said a blunt, short statement issued by the election commission. "Preparation work is under way around the country."

But Iraq's current climate of violence has made planning for wide participation in elections extremely difficult. With elections only two months away, the commission has the monumental task of staffing 9,000 polling places around the country and training roughly 40,000 Iraqis, few of whom have had any experience with elections.

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