Aid workers increasingly a target in conflict zones

The kidnapping is the latest incident to disrupt the postelection euphoria that many Western officials and Afghan citizens had felt after last month's peaceful presidential elections. Many saw the calm as a publicity defeat for the Taliban, which had failed to deliver on their threats to attack Afghan voters on election day. But attacks have increased over the past few weeks, including a suicide bomb attack in a Kabul market last month, in which an American woman and an Afghan girl were killed by a man with grenades strapped to his body.

Behind the kidnapping is a group calling itself the Jaish-e-Muslamin, or Army of the Muslims. Formed in December 2001 by former Taliban commander Syed Akbar Agha, the group formed a broader alliance ahead of the election to disrupt the polls.

Jaish-e-Muslamin claims to have 5,600 militants, but those familiar with the working of these rebel groups say the number is closer to a few hundred.

Mr. Agha is a veteran commander who had fought against the Soviets in the 1980s. He joined the Taliban ranks after the emergence of the militia in 1994, but parted ways after a falling out with the Taliban's supreme leader, Mullah Mohammad Omar, apparently over the distribution of arms and money.

"Whosoever is an enemy of the US is our friend," says Agha, reached by phone by the Monitor. "Unlike the Taliban, we want to build alliances by reaching out to other like-minded groups. Anyone who is fighting against the occupying forces is welcome to our ranks."

Agha told the Agence France-Presse news agency that the three election workers were being held in separate locations to prevent any rescue effort by coalition or Afghan forces. Such an attempt to rescue one would trigger the execution of the other two, Agha said.

Jaish-e-Muslamin was unheard of until last year, and observers say that the group appears to be trying to challenge the Taliban's dominance. Jaish's demand for the release of all prisoners held at US bases as well as the exit of foreign forces and UN employees is part of that strategy to become a powerful and influential Afghan rebel group.

"Jaish-e-Muslamin, by kidnapping Westerners, wants to legitimize its group in the world of Afghan rebel militant groups," says Rahimullah Yusufzai, a Peshawar-based expert on Afghan affairs.

A purported spokesman for Jaish told The Associated Press that negotiations with Afghan authorities had broken down and that the group would decide Friday whether to kill the trio.

Like the insurgents in Iraq, Jaish faces a more powerful enemy and has therefore adopted tactics of guerrilla warfare and terror attacks against soft targets. Among the copy-cat techniques are the videotaped kidnapping as well as suicide attacks, once unseen in Afghanistan.

"It seems to be based on Iraq's pattern, but the situations in Iraq and Afghanistan are different," says Mohammad Riaz, a Peshawar-based analyst. "In Iraq, Iraqis are offering resistance to the US-led forces by perceiving them as occupying forces, but common Afghans are sick and tired of decades-long war and bloodbath."

"But if the kidnappings of Westerners become a pattern, then it has serious implications in Afghanistan," says Mr. Riaz "There are so many vested interests in Afghanistan which want foreign forces to withdraw. There is Al Qaeda, there is Taliban and there is strong international drug mafia and there is always a fear of these forces could cash in on this dangerous pattern."

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