USA>Monitor Breakfast
from the May 20, 2004 edition

(Photograph) JAMES CARVILLE Democracy Corps cofounders JAMES CARVILLE (l.) and STANLEY GREENBERG were Wednesday's guests. They discussed the group's new public opinion poll.
ANDY NELSON - STAFF

James Carville and Stanley Greenberg


Democracy Corps cofounders James Carville (l.)and Stanley Greenberg were Wednesday's guests. They discussed the group's new public opinion poll. Here are excerpts from their remarks:

On President Bush's prospects for reelection:

(Greenberg) "He is not just in danger, he is more likely to lose than win." (The May 10-13 poll can be found at www.democracycorps.com)

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On the desire among voters for a change in direction:

(Greenberg) "You have a public that wants change, and those numbers keep growing dramatically - both on the economy and on the war."

On Ralph Nader's impact:

(Greenberg) "He will be less of a factor because I don't think this election is going to be close."

On the likelihood of a change in course in Iraq:

(Carville) "Events are going to change drastically. I just think Bush is going to announce a troop pullout before the election. You'd knock me over with a feather if he doesn't."

On prospects for a third party by the 2008 election:

(Carville) "[In] 2008 there is going to be a significant third- party movement in the United States that is going to combine Naderism and Buchanan-ism. It is going to be anti- immigration, antitrade, very, very cool on military intervention. It would certainly not be great for Democrats to have that."

On the impact of another terrorist attack on the US:

(Greenberg) "Attacks outside the country ... do not help the president. [On] attacks inside the country, I think the instinct is to rally to the president."




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