A pipeline of trouble in Georgia

Experts say that former President Eduard Shevardnadze is partly to blame for fostering unrealistic expectations about the benefits BTC would bring to Georgia's population of 4.5 million, more than half living on less than $30 per month. "The government told people the pipeline would create 60,000 jobs, and make everybody rich," says Georgia's environment minister, Nino Chkhobadze.

BP says that only about 2,000 jobs will be created for Georgians during peak construction; afterward, only 100 permanent jobs will remain. The BTC pipeline will also generate about $50 million in transit fees annually, or 7 percent of bankrupt Georgia's current GDP, during its projected 40-year life span. But critics point out that Georgia will be responsible for the security costs of its 154-mile portion of the pipeline, which could eat up to half of those revenues.

Ms. Medsmariashvili says BP has launched a $5 million Community Investment Program to improve local infrastructure and stimulate economic development along the route in Georgia. It will fund 53 local projects such as providing clean drinking water, repairing roads, fixing schools, and installing new irrigation systems.

Last November's "rose revolution," in which Mr. Shevardnadze was overthrown in street demonstrations led by US-educated reformer, now President-elect Mikhail Saakashvili, may have roiled the waters by inspiring some Georgians with real or perceived grievances to get aggressive with BP, experts say.

"In the past month there have been dozens of protests by villagers over compensation payments and other complaints against BP," says Ms. Kochladze. "The company's own Georgian construction workers have been striking repeatedly over wages and overtime issues. This may have been stimulated to some extent by the political example set last November." BP says it is paying workers between $200 and $550 per month - far above the average wage.

Another problem raising hackles here is BP's decision to run the pipeline through the pristine Borzhomi mountain gorge, an area known for landslide hazards, where an oil spill could undermine tourism and destroy the reputation of Borzhomi mineral water - Georgia's answer to France's Perrier water, and the country's third-largest export.

"At the very least this pipeline will ruin the visual landscape, which can't be good for our hopes to bring tourists back here," says Natia Muladze at the Borzhomi State Nature Reserve, home to several unique bird and plant species.

According to BP's Ms. Medsmariashvili, the company decided not to use what critics describe as a more direct and environmentally safer route through Georgia's southern Akhalkalaki region "based on the insistence of the Georgian government which was concerned with the security issues associated with the presence of a Russian military base in the district."

Akhalkalaki is populated mainly by ethnic Armenians, who have occasionally displayed separatist tendencies, and the main employer in the region is the Russian base, one of two remaining in Georgia after the USSR's collapse. Both the US and the new Georgian government of President-elect Saakashvili have urged Russia to withdraw its troops, but the issue remains a serious bone of contention between Moscow and Tbilisi.

Critics charge that routing the pipeline through ethnic Georgian- populated Borzhomi may not only be environmentally unsound but also politically unwise. Bypassing the Armenians of Akhalkalaki could further alienate them from the Tbilisi government, says Environment Minister Chkhobadze, whereas running the pipeline through their region "might have helped to create an alternative source of employment for the Armenians down there, who now can only find work with the Russians."

Georgia's Environment Ministry is the only government department that has yet to sign off on the pipeline. Ms. Chkhobadze says she wants BP to reexamine the Borzhomi route; the company says the question is closed.

Most Georgians appear to support the pipeline as necessary for the country's economic development and hopes to integrate with the West. But critics say more public debate about the social and environmental issues is needed.

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