Hunting Hussein grows more urgent for US

In Iraq the statues of Saddam Hussein may have been toppled, but his influence has not.

Seven months after US troops stormed into Baghdad, setting off wild anti-Hussein celebrations in some parts of the city, a new and apparently genuine audiotape indicates that the leader of the old regime is still alive, and at large. That's chilling to many Iraqis - and perhaps a growing problem for the US.

The longer Mr. Hussein remains free, the more doubt pricks at Iraqis' minds that he might, after all, come back. Such doubts could be particularly corrosive at a time when the US is accelerating plans to hand power over to some sort of new Iraqi government. "He's important, but not for reasons that are tactical, for reasons that are strategic, of what he represents symbolically," says Judith Yaphe, a senior fellow and Middle East expert at the National Defense University in Washington.

Only a few months ago it seemed as if Saddam Hussein's run might be at an end. On July 22 a tip from an informer led US forces to corner and kill his sons Uday and Qusay in the northern city of Mosul. Many in the US military predicted that US pressure, plus a $25 million reward, would work, and that Hussein himself would soon be located.

Obviously, that hasn't happened. The most prevalent theory in the US government is that he remains in the "Sunni triangle" north of Baghdad, and that his protectors are motivated by a combination of tribal and economic loyalty, and fear.

Last week the US military commander in charge of operations throughout much of the Sunni triangle went so far as to say that he thought Hussein was behind the recent upsurge in insurgent activity, and that it represented the counterattack that he had planned all along.

Maj. Gen. Charles H. Swannack Jr., commander of the 82nd Airborne Division, told Washington Post reporters that Hussein and his supporters had been surprised by the speed of the US invasion but that they had regrouped and were now on the offensive.

"They were planning to go ahead and fight an insurgency, should Iraq fall," Gen. Swannack told the Post.

Other top US officials have rejected this characterization of the current resistance. They doubt that the insurgency was pre-planned, and insist that Hussein is spending too much time and effort simply trying to stay one step ahead of the US Special Forces to be able to organize anything other than his next meal.

"I think Saddam Hussein is one of the most incompetent military leaders in the history of the world," said Gen. John Abizaid, commander of US Central Command, at a press availability last week.

That doesn't mean he's been removed from the US target list. Behind the scenes the US military has devoted much effort to locating him in recent months. His capture would surely be a significant accomplishment at a time when headlines are full of bad news about US casualties.

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