Mideast cease-fire shows limits

Israel Radio reported that the army chief of staff Moshe Yaalon, stressed to the cabinet that Israel is not a partner to the Palestinian arrangement and retains "freedom of action" in areas which have not been transferred to the Palestinian Authority (PA), including most of the West Bank.

Senior army officers say Hamas and other militias are using the cease-fire to rebuild their strength and charge Hamas with using its cover to refine a home-made rocket it has used against Israeli targets, thus far with no fatalities.

Hamas claimed responsibility for a rocket attack against a Jewish settlement in southern Gaza late Saturday for which six Israelis were treated for shock. Mahmoud Zahar, a Hamas leader, stressed: "There is no change in our position toward the cease-fire, but as our military wing has said we have the right to defend ourselves by all means. If the Israelis continue their aggression, they should expect it will weaken the cease-fire."

Israeli officials point the finger at the Palestinian Authority for not taking steps against the militant groups. "If the Palestinians were taking care of security, Israel would not have to do these [raids]," Mr. Gold said of the Askar incident.

He stresses that the road map explicitly calls for weapons confiscation and the "dismantlement of terrorist capabilities and infrastructure."

The PA views the truce very differently. It maintains that it deserves credit for getting Hamas to stop attacks. And it fears that more raids like the one in Askar could provoke Hamas into going back to suicide bombings. "The Israelis have to think about what they are doing. We don't want them to blow up the whole truce," says Elias Zananiri, spokesman for the Palestinian Ministry of Security Affairs.

He says that the PA cannot disarm and dismantle the militias during the cease-fire, since it would trigger a civil war. Instead, Mr. Zananiri says, the PA is trying to negotiate an extension of the three-month truce.

"What counts in the end is the result, that there is calm and no attacks on Israel. Our method is that the longer the truce and the cease-fire last, the more difficult it will be for factions to return to attacks. The idea is to make the truce popular." But, he says, Israel is undermining that by failing to ease strictures and improve life in the occupied territories or halt settlement building.

Despite a road map requirement to dismantle settlement outposts created since Sharon took office in 2001, Israel has allowed eight new ones to be built in place of eight that were removed, according to the Israeli group Peace Now.

Mr. Pedhatzur, the Tel Aviv University analyst, declines to specify the survival chances of the cease-fire. "I think [Army chief of staff] Yaalon and [Defense Minister Shaul] Mofaz do not want to break it for the time being." But, he added, the top brass is very frustrated by Hamas rebuilding.

"One bombing could be the end," he says.

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